Geopolitics Alpha

AI Trade Rotation: Software and Cloud Stocks Outpace Chipmakers Ahead of Nvidia Earnings

Published . Updated .

This report is about Defense. Names like LMT and RTX typically gain because defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises.

Directly affected

  • NVDA Nvidia

    Named in this report.

  • RTX Rtx

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TSM Taiwan Semiconductor

    The main advanced-chip manufacturer sits in Taiwan

  • ASML ASML

    Chipmaking-equipment sales follow export rules

  • AVGO Broadcom

    Chip makers and their suppliers move when export rules or Taiwan risk changes

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • AMD AMD

    Chip makers and their suppliers move when export rules or Taiwan risk changes

  • AMAT Applied Materials

    Chip-equipment makers feel export controls

  • LRCX Lam Research

    Chip-equipment makers feel export controls

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor

    A fund of semiconductor companies

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
NVDA———————
RTX———————
TSM———————
ASML———————
AVGO———————
LMT———————
AMD———————
AMAT———————
LRCX———————
SMH———————

AI Trade Rotation: Software and Cloud Stocks Outpace Chipmakers Ahead of Nvidia Earnings ChartMill

Source: ChartMill

Defense

SPY
XLI

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the defense case looks

12 out of 100

“AI Trade Rotation: Software and Cloud Stocks Outpace Chipmakers Ahead of Nvidia Earnings” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.