Geopolitics Alpha

Australia's Sahm Rule Edges Toward Recession Trigger as Jobs Soften

Published . Updated .

Australia's Sahm Rule Edges Toward Recession Trigger as Jobs Soften StoneX

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
GD———————
ITA———————
BA———————
LHX———————
HII———————

Australia's Sahm Rule Edges Toward Recession Trigger as Jobs Soften StoneX

Source: StoneX

Defense

SPY
XLI

How solid the defense case looks

25 out of 100

“Australia's Sahm Rule Edges Toward Recession Trigger as Jobs Soften” scores 25 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources.