Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002

Published 13 Oct 2026, 15:45 UTC. Updated 13 Oct 2026, 18:31 UTC.

Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002 Business Insider

Directly affected

No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

LMT Lockheed Martin
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
RTX RTX
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
NOC Northrop Grumman
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
GD General Dynamics
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense
A fund of aerospace and defense companies
BA Boeing
Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending
LHX L3Harris
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
HII Huntington Ingalls
Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises
XAR SPDR SERIES TRUST
Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia.
GOVZ ISHARES 25 YEAR TREASURY STRIPS BOND ETF
GA selected GOVZ as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

Ticker	T-5	T-3	T-1	T0	T+1	T+2	T+3
LMT	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
RTX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
NOC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
GD	-1.12%	-1.56%	—	-0.79%	-0.15%	+0.55%	+2.69%
ITA	+1.03%	-0.59%	—	-0.98%	-0.89%	+0.37%	+1.47%
BA	+0.18%	-0.93%	—	-1.56%	-2.60%	-0.40%	+0.30%
LHX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
HII	-0.10%	+0.38%	—	-2.41%	+0.16%	+1.23%	+2.87%
XAR	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
GOVZ	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002 Business Insider

Source: Business Insider

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) compared with industrial stocks (XLI) since 13 Oct 2026

Since the first closing price after “Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is +1.63%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +2.03% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +1.83% difference versus that group of stocks.

Company	When	Move	Status
BA	that day	-1.56%	final price
BA	the next day	-2.60%	final price
BA	two days later	-0.40%	final price
BA	three days later	+0.30%	final price
BA	three days earlier	-0.93%	final price
BA	five days earlier	+0.18%	final price
GD	that day	-0.79%	final price
GD	the next day	-0.15%	final price
GD	two days later	+0.55%	final price
GD	three days later	+2.69%	final price
GD	three days earlier	-1.56%	final price
GD	five days earlier	-1.12%	final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)	that day	-0.14%	final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)	the next day	-1.62%	final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)	two days later	+0.13%	final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)	three days later	-0.03%	final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)	three days earlier	-0.93%	final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)	five days earlier	+0.03%	final price
HII	that day	-2.41%	final price
HII	the next day	+0.16%	final price
HII	two days later	+1.23%	final price
HII	three days later	+2.87%	final price
HII	three days earlier	+0.38%	final price
HII	five days earlier	-0.10%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	that day	-0.98%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	the next day	-0.89%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	two days later	+0.37%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	three days later	+1.47%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	three days earlier	-0.59%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	five days earlier	+1.03%	final price

ITA

SPY

XLI

Who collects and who pays in defense

Companies carried with this story

ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
For “Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
XAR Spdr Series Trust
Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
GOVZ Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf
In “Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002,” Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected GOVZ as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
BAMG Brookstone Growth Stock Etf
Brookstone Growth Stock Etf (BAMG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002.” Reason on file: GA selected BAMG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: stock. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
BAMV Brookstone Value Stock Etf
Brookstone Value Stock Etf (BAMV) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002.” Reason on file: GA selected BAMV as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: stock. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
BBLB Jpmorgan Betabuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 20 Year Etf
Jpmorgan Betabuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 20 Year Etf (BBLB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002.” Reason on file: GA selected BBLB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
IYY Ishares Dow Jones U.S. Etf
For “Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002,” Ishares Dow Jones U.S. Etf (IYY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected IYY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: jones. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
GLD Spdr Gold Trust
For “Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

How defense news reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

“Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002” (13 Oct 2026) reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) through Defense.

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is on the page because Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Price levels for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

GOVZ traded between 29.90 and 33.87 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 32.20. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

What the saved facts support for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

46 out of 100

“Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones warns the US stock market is facing its most challenging year since 2002” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.