Geopolitics Alpha

BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates

Published . Updated .

A BIS study found widely used crypto metrics can obscure economic activity, with measurement challenges spanning Bitcoin, Ethereum and stablecoins.

Directly affected

  • CRCW Crypto

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust

    This price moves with the crypto market

  • COIN Coinbase

    The crypto exchange moves with trading volumes

  • MSTR Strategy

    This company's value is tied to its bitcoin holdings

  • MARA MARA Holdings

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • RIOT Riot Platforms

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • HOOD Robinhood

    Retail trading apps move with crypto volumes

  • BITB BITWISE BITCOIN ETF TR

    GA selected BITB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • BITU PROSHARES ULTRA BITCOIN ETF

    GA selected BITU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • BITX 2X BITCOIN STRATEGY ETF

    GA selected BITX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • GBTC GRAYSCALE BITCOIN TRUST ETF

    GA selected GBTC as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRCW———————
IBIT———————
COIN———————
MSTR———————
MARA———————
RIOT———————
HOOD———————
BITB———————
BITU———————
BITX———————
GBTC———————

A BIS study found widely used crypto metrics can obscure economic activity, with measurement challenges spanning Bitcoin, Ethereum and stablecoins.

Source: Cointelegraph

Price since this story was published: Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

Since the first closing price after “BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates,” Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) is +7.52%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.66% over the same days, a +5.85% difference versus the market.

BITB
SPY

Who gains and who loses around Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

Companies carried with this story

  • BITB Bitwise Bitcoin ETF

    For “BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates,” Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BITB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BITU Proshares Ultra Bitcoin Etf

    In “BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates,” Proshares Ultra Bitcoin Etf (BITU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BITU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BITX 2X Bitcoin Strategy Etf

    2X Bitcoin Strategy Etf (BITX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates.” Reason on file: GA selected BITX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF

    For “BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates,” Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected GBTC as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

    In “BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates,” iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected IBIT as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ARKB Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF

    Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates.” Reason on file: GA selected ARKB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) is the company in “BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates,” the 15 Sep 2026 this story story.

The link for Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) is this: GA selected BITB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Proshares Ultra Bitcoin Etf (BITU) is here too. Its reason reads: GA selected BITU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

The price range for Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), and the dates in the story

BITB traded between 43.26 and 47.30 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 44.34. BITU traded between 13.70 and 16.49 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 14.38. BITX traded between 17.70 and 21.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 18.59.

What the saved facts support for Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

46 out of 100

“BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.