Geopolitics Alpha

Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases

Published . Updated .

Bitcoin’s drawdown mirrors its position before the Fed’s first hike in March 2022, raising questions over whether a relief rally could precede further losses.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust

    This price moves with the crypto market

  • COIN Coinbase

    The crypto exchange moves with trading volumes

  • MSTR Strategy

    This company's value is tied to its bitcoin holdings

  • MARA MARA Holdings

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • RIOT Riot Platforms

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • HOOD Robinhood

    Retail trading apps move with crypto volumes

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
IBIT———————
COIN———————
MSTR———————
MARA———————
TLT———————
IEF———————
RIOT———————
HOOD———————
SHY———————
SPY———————

How far Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) has moved since 17 Sep 2026

Since the first closing price after “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases,” Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) is +0.61%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.65% over the same days, a -0.04% difference versus the market.

BITB
SPY

Who gains and who loses around Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

Companies carried with this story

  • BITB Bitwise Bitcoin ETF

    In “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases,” Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BITB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BITU Proshares Ultra Bitcoin Etf

    Proshares Ultra Bitcoin Etf (BITU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 17 Sep 2026 story “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases.” Reason on file: GA selected BITU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BITX 2X Bitcoin Strategy Etf

    2X Bitcoin Strategy Etf (BITX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 17 Sep 2026 story “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases.” Reason on file: GA selected BITX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf

    Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 17 Sep 2026 story “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases.” Reason on file: GA selected FAS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF

    For “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases,” Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected GBTC as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

    In “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases,” iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected IBIT as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Rate-policy changes can alter funding costs, net-interest margins, and financial-sector valuation

  • KRE Spdr Series Trust

    In “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases,” Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Rate-policy changes can alter funding costs, net-interest margins, and financial-sector valuation

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

On 17 Sep 2026, “Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases” is the story that connects Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) to this story.

The link for Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) is this: GA selected BITB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Proshares Ultra Bitcoin Etf (BITU) is here too. Its reason reads: GA selected BITU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

The price range for Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), and the dates in the story

BITB traded between 43.26 and 47.30 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 44.34. BITU traded between 13.70 and 16.49 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 14.38. BITX traded between 17.70 and 21.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 18.59.

How strong the case is around Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

100 out of 100

“Bitcoin faces 2022 parallels as Federal Reserve resumes rate increases” scores 100 out of 100. The score uses 13 linked companies.