Geopolitics Alpha

Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets

Published . Updated .

Core PCE rose just 0.2% in August, easing pressure for an October Fed hike. Bitcoin trades near $83,700 as rising Treasury yields cap gains.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust

    This price moves with the crypto market

  • COIN Coinbase

    The crypto exchange moves with trading volumes

  • MSTR Strategy

    This company's value is tied to its bitcoin holdings

  • MARA MARA Holdings

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • RIOT Riot Platforms

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • HOOD Robinhood

    Retail trading apps move with crypto volumes

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
IBIT———————
COIN———————
MSTR———————
MARA———————
TLT———————
IEF———————
RIOT———————
HOOD———————
SHY———————
SPY———————

Core PCE rose just 0.2% in August, easing pressure for an October Fed hike. Bitcoin trades near $83,700 as rising Treasury yields cap gains.

Source: The Block

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets,” Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) is -3.44%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.33% over the same days, a -3.77% difference versus the market.

BITB
SPY

Who gains and who loses around Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • BITB Bitwise Bitcoin ETF

    In “Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets,” Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BITB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BITU Proshares Ultra Bitcoin Etf

    In “Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets,” Proshares Ultra Bitcoin Etf (BITU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BITU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BITX 2X Bitcoin Strategy Etf

    2X Bitcoin Strategy Etf (BITX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Sep 2026 story “Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets.” Reason on file: GA selected BITX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf

    For “Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets,” Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected FAS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF

    Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Sep 2026 story “Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets.” Reason on file: GA selected GBTC as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

    iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Sep 2026 story “Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets.” Reason on file: GA selected IBIT as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Rate-policy changes can alter funding costs, net-interest margins, and financial-sector valuation

  • KRE Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Sep 2026 story “Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets.” Reason on file: Rate-policy changes can alter funding costs, net-interest margins, and financial-sector valuation

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

“Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets” (30 Sep 2026) reaches Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB) through this story.

For Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), the reason on file says GA selected BITB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Also listed, Proshares Ultra Bitcoin Etf (BITU): GA selected BITU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bitcoin. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

The price range for Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), and the dates in the story

BITB traded between 43.26 and 47.30 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 44.34. BITU traded between 13.70 and 16.49 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 14.38. BITX traded between 17.70 and 21.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 18.59.

How strong the case is around Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB)

46 out of 100

“Bitcoin steadies as soft PCE cools October Fed rate hike bets” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 13 linked companies.