Geopolitics Alpha

Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road

Published . Updated .

Kalshi and Polymarket bettors sharply raised the chances of U.S. crypto market structure legislation advancing, with Tuesday's Senate vote the next test.

Directly affected

  • CRCW Crypto

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust

    This price moves with the crypto market

  • COIN Coinbase

    The crypto exchange moves with trading volumes

  • MSTR Strategy

    This company's value is tied to its bitcoin holdings

  • MARA MARA Holdings

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • RIOT Riot Platforms

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • HOOD Robinhood

    Retail trading apps move with crypto volumes

  • CRCG LEVERAGE SHARES 2X LONG CRCL DAILY ETF

    GA selected CRCG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • CRWG LEVERAGE SHARES 2X LONG CRWV DAILY ETF

    GA selected CRWG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • NVDX T REX 2X LONG NVIDIA DAILY ETF

    GA selected NVDX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • UVIX VS TR 2X LONG VIX FUTURES ETF

    GA selected UVIX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRCW———————
IBIT———————
COIN———————
MSTR———————
MARA———————
RIOT———————
HOOD———————
CRCG———————
CRWG———————
NVDX———————
UVIX———————

Kalshi and Polymarket bettors sharply raised the chances of U.S. crypto market structure legislation advancing, with Tuesday's Senate vote the next test.

Source: CoinDesk

The price since 14 Sep 2026: Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf (CRCG) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road,” Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf (CRCG) is -15.72%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.21% over the same days, a -16.93% difference versus the market.

CRCG
SPY

Who gains and who loses around Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf (CRCG)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • CRCG Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf

    Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf (CRCG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 14 Sep 2026 story “Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road.” Reason on file: GA selected CRCG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • CRWG Leverage Shares 2X Long Crwv Daily Etf

    Leverage Shares 2X Long Crwv Daily Etf (CRWG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 14 Sep 2026 story “Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road.” Reason on file: GA selected CRWG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • NVDX T Rex 2X Long Nvidia Daily Etf

    In “Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road,” T Rex 2X Long Nvidia Daily Etf (NVDX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected NVDX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • UVIX VS Trust

    For “Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road,” VS Trust (UVIX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected UVIX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • XXRP Teucrium 2X Long Daily Xrp Etf

    In “Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road,” Teucrium 2X Long Daily Xrp Etf (XXRP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected XXRP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BGGG Baillie Gifford Etf Tr Long Te

    For “Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road,” Baillie Gifford Etf Tr Long Te (BGGG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BGGG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf (CRCG)

On 14 Sep 2026, “Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road” is the story that connects Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf (CRCG) to this story.

For Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf (CRCG), the reason on file says GA selected CRCG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Leverage Shares 2X Long Crwv Daily Etf (CRWG) is here too. Its reason reads: GA selected CRWG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: long. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

The price range for Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf (CRCG), and the dates in the story

CRCG traded between 9.88 and 16.77 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 11.26. CRWG traded between 7.83 and 20.60 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 8.47. NVDX traded between 17.81 and 23.41 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 18.48.

A simple score for Leverage Shares 2X Long Crcl Daily Etf (CRCG)

46 out of 100

“Clarity Act odds surge on prediction markets, but crypto bill still faces long road” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.