Geopolitics Alpha

Clarity Act's odds of passing plunge as Republicans reject Democrats' counter-proposal

Published . Updated .

Prediction markets sharply marked down the crypto market structure bill’s near-term prospects as negotiations remained stuck hours before a key Senate vote.

Directly affected

  • CRCW Crypto

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust

    This price moves with the crypto market

  • COIN Coinbase

    The crypto exchange moves with trading volumes

  • MSTR Strategy

    This company's value is tied to its bitcoin holdings

  • MARA MARA Holdings

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • RIOT Riot Platforms

    Bitcoin miners move with the bitcoin price

  • HOOD Robinhood

    Retail trading apps move with crypto volumes

  • GOP UNUSUAL WHALES SUBVERSIVE REPUBLICAN TRADING ETF

    GA selected GOP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: republicans. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRCW———————
IBIT———————
COIN———————
MSTR———————
MARA———————
RIOT———————
HOOD———————
GOP———————

Prediction markets sharply marked down the crypto market structure bill’s near-term prospects as negotiations remained stuck hours before a key Senate vote.

Source: CoinDesk

Price since this story was published: Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf (GOP)

Since the first closing price after “Clarity Act's odds of passing plunge as Republicans reject Democrats' counter-proposal,” Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf (GOP) is -1.00%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.66% over the same days, a -2.66% difference versus the market.

GOP
SPY

Who gains and who loses around Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf (GOP)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • GOP Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf

    Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf (GOP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “Clarity Act's odds of passing plunge as Republicans reject Democrats' counter-proposal.” Reason on file: GA selected GOP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: republicans. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf (GOP)

On 15 Sep 2026, “Clarity Act's odds of passing plunge as Republicans reject Democrats' counter-proposal” is the story that connects Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf (GOP) to this story.

Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf (GOP) is on the page because GA selected GOP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: republicans. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

The price range for Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf (GOP), and the dates in the story

GOP traded between 43.42 and 45.74 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 43.77.

A simple score for Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading Etf (GOP)

14 out of 100

“Clarity Act's odds of passing plunge as Republicans reject Democrats' counter-proposal” scores 14 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 1 linked companies.