Geopolitics Alpha

Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026

Published . Updated .

Today's Department of War contracts valued at $7.5 million or more are now live on War.gov.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

  • XAR SPDR SERIES TRUST

    Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia.

  • PPA INVESCO AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF

    GA selected PPA as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
GD———————
ITA———————
BA———————
LHX———————
HII———————
XAR———————
PPA———————

Today's Department of War contracts valued at $7.5 million or more are now live on War.gov.

Source: U.S. Defense Contracts

Price since this story was published: Spdr Series Trust (XAR)

Since the first closing price after “Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is -8.04%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.77% over the same days, a -8.81% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -1.91%, a -6.14% difference versus that group of stocks.

XAR
SPY
XLI

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) on one side of this defense story

Companies carried with this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    In “Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • PPA Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf

    For “Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026,” Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf (PPA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected PPA as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • WAR U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf

    U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf (WAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Sep 2026 story “Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026.” Reason on file: GA selected WAR as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GLD Spdr Gold Trust

    For “Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    In “Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

  • UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

    In “Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026,” Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) and the defense link

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is the company in “Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026,” the 12 Sep 2026 Defense story.

What ties Spdr Series Trust (XAR) to the headline is this: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

A second company, IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), is listed for a different reason: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

What this defense story puts on the calendar

ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. PPA traded between 151.56 and 162.12 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.07. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

How solid the defense case looks

46 out of 100

“Contracts for Sept. 9, 2026” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.