Geopolitics Alpha

Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike

Published . Updated .

Traders were pricing in a better than 92% probability of a rate increase, as well as a more than 75% chance for another one in December.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

  • AGZD WISDOMTREE INTEREST RATE HEDGED U.S. AGGREGATE BOND FUND

    GA selected AGZD as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: interest, rate. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF———————
SHY———————
SPY———————
JPM———————
BAC———————
GS———————
XLF———————
KRE———————
AGZD———————

Traders were pricing in a better than 92% probability of a rate increase, as well as a more than 75% chance for another one in December.

Source: CNBC Top

Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike,” Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD) is -0.22%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.21% over the same days, a -1.43% difference versus the market.

AGZD
SPY

Who gains and who loses around Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)

Companies tied to this story

  • AGZD Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund

    In “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike,” Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AGZD as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: interest, rate. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • PFIX Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF

    For “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike,” Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF (PFIX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected PFIX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: interest, rate. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf

    In “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike,” Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected FAS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 14 Sep 2026 story “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike.” Reason on file: Rate-policy changes can alter funding costs, net-interest margins, and financial-sector valuation

  • KRE Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 14 Sep 2026 story “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike.” Reason on file: Rate-policy changes can alter funding costs, net-interest margins, and financial-sector valuation

  • RISR Foliobeyond Alternative Income And Interest Ratehedge Etf

    In “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike,” Foliobeyond Alternative Income And Interest Ratehedge Etf (RISR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected RISR as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: interest. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    For “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Major monetary and inflation developments can transmit across duration, inflation-linked Treasuries, gold, and dollar proxies; no direction is implied by the link itself

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    For “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike,” Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Major monetary and inflation developments can transmit across duration, inflation-linked Treasuries, gold, and dollar proxies; no direction is implied by the link itself

Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)

On 14 Sep 2026, “Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike” is the story that connects Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD) to this story.

The link for Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD) is this: GA selected AGZD as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: interest, rate. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

A second company, Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF (PFIX), is listed for a different reason: GA selected PFIX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: interest, rate. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

The price range for Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD), and the dates in the story

AGZD traded between 22.49 and 22.70 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 22.56. FAS traded between 136.16 and 161.95 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 152.93. PFIX traded between 52.81 and 67.75 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 59.88.

How strong the case is around Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)

46 out of 100

“Counting the votes: Warsh faces a tough battle as the Fed girds for expected interest rate hike” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 11 linked companies.