Geopolitics Alpha

Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom

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Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom BusinessToday Malaysia

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

  • UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE FUND LP

    Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF-0.55%-0.31%—+0.04%+0.16%+0.34%+1.06%
SHY———————
SPY———————
JPM-0.20%-1.04%—+0.47%-0.44%+0.70%+0.77%
BAC-0.48%-1.44%—+0.48%-0.66%-5.34%-4.84%
GS-0.18%-0.88%—-0.12%-0.37%-1.86%-0.47%
XLF———————
KRE———————
UGA———————

Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom BusinessToday Malaysia

Source: BusinessToday Malaysia

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -1.70%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a -0.23% difference versus the market.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day+0.48%final price
BACthe next day-0.66%final price
BACtwo days later-5.34%final price
BACthree days later-4.84%final price
BACthree days earlier-1.44%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.48%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)that day+0.37%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)the next day+0.35%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)two days later-0.23%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days later-0.11%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days earlier+0.60%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)five days earlier+0.44%final price
GSthat day-0.12%final price
GSthe next day-0.37%final price
GStwo days later-1.86%final price
GSthree days later-0.47%final price
GSthree days earlier-0.88%final price
GSfive days earlier-0.18%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day+0.04%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)the next day+0.16%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)two days later+0.34%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days later+1.06%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier-0.31%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-0.55%final price
JPMthat day+0.47%final price
JPMthe next day-0.44%final price
JPMtwo days later+0.70%final price
JPMthree days later+0.77%final price
JPMthree days earlier-1.04%final price
JPMfive days earlier-0.20%final price
UGA
SPY

Where this story sits: Middle East

Middle East has 0 linked stories in the last 7 days and 0 in the last 30 on the page that also carries “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom.”

Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies carried with this story

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    In “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    For “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • HYG Ishares Tr

    For “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IEI Ishares Tr

    In “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom,” Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

How a Middle East shock reaches United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is the company in “Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom,” the 12 Oct 2026 Middle East story.

For United States Gasoline Fund (UGA), the reason on file says Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Also listed, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG): Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Price levels for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

What the saved facts support for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

46 out of 100

“Dollar Holds Near 18-Month High As Middle East Tensions, US Inflation Data Loom” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 21 linked companies.