Geopolitics Alpha

Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars

Published . Updated .

Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars SMH.com.au

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when Russian supply is at risk

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • WEAT Teucrium Wheat

    Wheat prices rise when Black Sea grain is disrupted

  • MOS Mosaic

    Fertilizer makers move with Russian supply

  • CF CF Industries

    Fertilizer makers move with Russian supply

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
XLE———————
GD-1.12%-1.56%—-0.79%-0.15%+0.55%+2.69%
ITA+1.03%-0.59%—-0.98%-0.89%+0.37%+1.47%
USO———————
WEAT———————
MOS———————
CF———————

Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars SMH.com.au

Source: SMH.com.au

The price since 13 Oct 2026: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is +1.63%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +2.03% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +1.83% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BAthat day-1.56%final price
BAthe next day-2.60%final price
BAtwo days later-0.40%final price
BAthree days later+0.30%final price
BAthree days earlier-0.93%final price
BAfive days earlier+0.18%final price
GDthat day-0.79%final price
GDthe next day-0.15%final price
GDtwo days later+0.55%final price
GDthree days later+2.69%final price
GDthree days earlier-1.56%final price
GDfive days earlier-1.12%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)that day-0.14%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)the next day-1.62%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)two days later+0.13%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)three days later-0.03%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)three days earlier-0.93%final price
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD)five days earlier+0.03%final price
HIIthat day-2.41%final price
HIIthe next day+0.16%final price
HIItwo days later+1.23%final price
HIIthree days later+2.87%final price
HIIthree days earlier+0.38%final price
HIIfive days earlier-0.10%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-0.98%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)the next day-0.89%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)two days later+0.37%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days later+1.47%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.59%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier+1.03%final price
ITA
SPY
XLI

Who gains and who loses around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

Companies carried with this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    For “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • TACU T Rowe Price Etf

    In “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” T Rowe Price Etf (TACU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected TACU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: prices. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • PPA Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf

    For “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf (PPA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected PPA as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • TAXE T Rowe Price Etf

    For “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” T Rowe Price Etf (TAXE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected TAXE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: prices. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • TBUX T Rowe Price Etf

    In “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” T Rowe Price Etf (TBUX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected TBUX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: prices. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • TCAF T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity Etf

    For “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity Etf (TCAF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected TCAF as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: prices. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GLD Spdr Gold Trust

    In “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the defense link

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is the company in “Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars,” the 13 Oct 2026 Defense story.

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is on the page because Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is here too. Its reason reads: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Dates in the story, and the IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) price range

ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. TACU traded between 27.84 and 28.64 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.52. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

How strong the case is around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

46 out of 100

“Don’t blame Ukraine: Prices go up and up, thanks to Trump’s wars” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.