Geopolitics Alpha

Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war

Published . Updated .

Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war Axios

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • AAPL Apple

    Sales and supply chains are exposed to a new tariff

  • NKE Nike

    Sales and supply chains are exposed to a new tariff

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
GD-1.12%-1.56%—-0.79%-0.15%+0.55%+2.69%
AAPL-2.15%-0.18%—+0.08%+0.58%+0.25%+0.69%
NKE———————
ITA+1.03%-0.59%—-0.98%-0.89%+0.37%+1.47%
BA+0.18%-0.93%—-1.56%-2.60%-0.40%+0.30%
LHX———————
HII-0.10%+0.38%—-2.41%+0.16%+1.23%+2.87%

Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war Axios

Source: Axios

Price since this story was published: Spdr Series Trust (XAR)

Since the first closing price after “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is +1.18%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +1.57% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +1.38% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
AAPLthat day+0.08%final price
AAPLthe next day+0.58%final price
AAPLtwo days later+0.25%final price
AAPLthree days later+0.69%final price
AAPLthree days earlier-0.18%final price
AAPLfive days earlier-2.15%final price
BAthat day-1.56%final price
BAthe next day-2.60%final price
BAtwo days later-0.40%final price
BAthree days later+0.30%final price
BAthree days earlier-0.93%final price
BAfive days earlier+0.18%final price
GDthat day-0.79%final price
GDthe next day-0.15%final price
GDtwo days later+0.55%final price
GDthree days later+2.69%final price
GDthree days earlier-1.56%final price
GDfive days earlier-1.12%final price
HIIthat day-2.41%final price
HIIthe next day+0.16%final price
HIItwo days later+1.23%final price
HIIthree days later+2.87%final price
HIIthree days earlier+0.38%final price
HIIfive days earlier-0.10%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-0.98%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)the next day-0.89%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)two days later+0.37%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days later+1.47%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.59%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier+1.03%final price
XAR
SPY
XLI

Who gains and who loses around Spdr Series Trust (XAR)

Companies tied to this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    In “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • FXI Ishares China Large-Cap Etf

    In “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war,” Ishares China Large-Cap Etf (FXI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected FXI as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: china. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • KWEB Kraneshares Csi China Internet Etf

    For “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war,” Kraneshares Csi China Internet Etf (KWEB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected KWEB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: china. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • MJ Amplify Alternative Harvest Etf

    In “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war,” Amplify Alternative Harvest Etf (MJ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected MJ as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: alternative. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • YANG Direxion Daily Ftse China Bear 3X Etf

    For “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war,” Direxion Daily Ftse China Bear 3X Etf (YANG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected YANG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: china. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BBEU J P Morgan Exchange-Traded Fd Tr Betabuilders Europe Etf New

    J P Morgan Exchange-Traded Fd Tr Betabuilders Europe Etf New (BBEU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war.” Reason on file: GA selected BBEU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: europe. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GLD Spdr Gold Trust

    Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

How “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war” reaches Spdr Series Trust (XAR)

On 13 Oct 2026, “Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war” is the story that connects Spdr Series Trust (XAR) to Defense.

What ties Spdr Series Trust (XAR) to the headline is this: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Also listed, IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA): Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Price levels for Spdr Series Trust (XAR)

FXI traded between 33.08 and 35.28 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 33.55. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

The defense score for Spdr Series Trust (XAR)

46 out of 100

“Europe's alternative to Trump's China trade war” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.