Geopolitics Alpha

Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms

Published . Updated .

Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms Yahoo Finance

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

  • UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE FUND LP

    Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF———————
SHY———————
SPY———————
JPM———————
BAC-0.48%-1.44%—+0.48%-0.66%-5.34%-4.84%
GS———————
XLF———————
KRE———————
UGA———————

Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms Yahoo Finance

Source: Yahoo Finance

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -3.52%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a -2.05% difference versus the market.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)that day-0.09%final price
Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)the next day+0.07%final price
Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)two days later-0.04%final price
Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)three days later-0.09%final price
Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)three days earlier-0.40%final price
Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD)five days earlier-0.22%final price
BACthat day+0.48%final price
BACthe next day-0.66%final price
BACtwo days later-5.34%final price
BACthree days later-4.84%final price
BACthree days earlier-1.44%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.48%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)that day+0.37%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)the next day+0.35%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)two days later-0.23%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days later-0.11%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days earlier+0.60%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)five days earlier+0.44%final price
Global X Emerging Markets Great Consumer Etf (EMC)that day0.00%final price
Global X Emerging Markets Great Consumer Etf (EMC)the next day0.00%final price
Global X Emerging Markets Great Consumer Etf (EMC)two days later0.00%final price
Global X Emerging Markets Great Consumer Etf (EMC)three days later0.00%final price
Global X Emerging Markets Great Consumer Etf (EMC)three days earlier0.00%final price
Global X Emerging Markets Great Consumer Etf (EMC)five days earlier-1.13%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)that day0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)the next day0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)two days later0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)three days later0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)three days earlier0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)five days earlier0.00%final price
UGA
SPY

Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies tied to this story

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    For “Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • HYG Ishares Tr

    For “Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IEI Ishares Tr

    In “Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms,” Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    For “Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

“Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms” (11 Oct 2026) reaches United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) through this story.

The link for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is this: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is here too. Its reason reads: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Dates in the story, and the United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) price range

IWM traded between 269.88 and 288.91 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 271.30. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49. XLY traded between 110.56 and 114.69 across 12 sessions. The latest close on file is 114.45.

How strong the case is around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

54 out of 100

“Fed’s Waller pivots on interest-rate bet as worried consumers sound inflation alarms” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 23 linked companies.