Geopolitics Alpha

Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal

Published . Updated .

Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal Axios

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when Russian supply is at risk

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • WEAT Teucrium Wheat

    Wheat prices rise when Black Sea grain is disrupted

  • MOS Mosaic

    Fertilizer makers move with Russian supply

  • CF CF Industries

    Fertilizer makers move with Russian supply

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT-0.43%-0.82%—-1.60%+1.95%+4.06%+7.83%
RTX———————
NOC———————
XLE———————
GD-1.12%-1.56%—-0.79%-0.15%+0.55%+2.69%
ITA+1.03%-0.59%—-0.98%-0.89%+0.37%+1.47%
USO———————
WEAT———————
MOS+11.09%+4.67%—+1.75%+0.85%+0.53%-0.16%
CF+1.26%-0.87%—+2.33%+4.26%+4.53%+5.47%

Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal Axios

Source: Axios

Price since this story was published: United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Since the first closing price after “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -1.79%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a -1.40% difference versus the market.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CFthat day+2.33%final price
CFthe next day+4.26%final price
CFtwo days later+4.53%final price
CFthree days later+5.47%final price
CFthree days earlier-0.87%final price
CFfive days earlier+1.26%final price
GDthat day-0.79%final price
GDthe next day-0.15%final price
GDtwo days later+0.55%final price
GDthree days later+2.69%final price
GDthree days earlier-1.56%final price
GDfive days earlier-1.12%final price
ITAthat day-0.98%final price
ITAthe next day-0.89%final price
ITAtwo days later+0.37%final price
ITAthree days later+1.47%final price
ITAthree days earlier-0.59%final price
ITAfive days earlier+1.03%final price
LMTthat day-1.60%final price
LMTthe next day+1.95%final price
LMTtwo days later+4.06%final price
LMTthree days later+7.83%final price
LMTthree days earlier-0.82%final price
LMTfive days earlier-0.43%final price
MOSthat day+1.75%final price
MOSthe next day+0.85%final price
MOStwo days later+0.53%final price
MOSthree days later-0.16%final price
MOSthree days earlier+4.67%final price
MOSfive days earlier+11.09%final price
UGA
SPY

Who is named in “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal”

Companies mentioned with this story

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XME Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    For “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • HYG Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

How “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal” reaches United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

On 13 Oct 2026, “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal” is the story that connects United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) to this story.

For United States Gasoline Fund (UGA), the reason on file says Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Also listed, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG): Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Dates and price levels for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

How solid “Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal” looks

46 out of 100

“Five things to watch after Trump's Russian diesel deal” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 9 linked companies.