Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF
Published . Updated .
Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF CNBC
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- LMT Lockheed Martin
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- RTX RTX
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- NOC Northrop Grumman
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- GD General Dynamics
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense
A fund of aerospace and defense companies
- BA Boeing
Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending
- LHX L3Harris
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- HII Huntington Ingalls
Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises
- XAR SPDR SERIES TRUST
Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia.
- CGTL CREATIVE GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY HLD
GA selected CGTL as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: technology, global. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF CNBC
Source: CNBC
Price since this story was published: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
Since the first closing price after “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is +1.63%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +2.03% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +1.83% difference versus that group of stocks.
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BA | that day | -1.56% | final price |
| BA | the next day | -2.60% | final price |
| BA | two days later | -0.40% | final price |
| BA | three days later | +0.30% | final price |
| BA | three days earlier | -0.93% | final price |
| BA | five days earlier | +0.18% | final price |
| Creative Global Technology Holdings (CGTL) | that day | -6.80% | final price |
| Creative Global Technology Holdings (CGTL) | the next day | -9.47% | final price |
| Creative Global Technology Holdings (CGTL) | two days later | -7.10% | final price |
| Creative Global Technology Holdings (CGTL) | three days later | -9.17% | final price |
| Creative Global Technology Holdings (CGTL) | three days earlier | -4.44% | final price |
| Creative Global Technology Holdings (CGTL) | five days earlier | +8.28% | final price |
| GD | that day | -0.79% | final price |
| GD | the next day | -0.15% | final price |
| GD | two days later | +0.55% | final price |
| GD | three days later | +2.69% | final price |
| GD | three days earlier | -1.56% | final price |
| GD | five days earlier | -1.12% | final price |
| HII | that day | -2.41% | final price |
| HII | the next day | +0.16% | final price |
| HII | two days later | +1.23% | final price |
| HII | three days later | +2.87% | final price |
| HII | three days earlier | +0.38% | final price |
| HII | five days earlier | -0.10% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | that day | -0.98% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | the next day | -0.89% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | two days later | +0.37% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days later | +1.47% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | -0.59% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | +1.03% | final price |
Disclosure records for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) within two months of 13 Oct 2026
- Donald J Trump buy Aecom (ACM) ($1,001 - $15,000). That is 46 days before publication, inside 60 days. The filing is listed beside the story “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF.”
- Donald J Trump sell Aecom (ACM) ($1,001 - $15,000). That is 50 days before publication, inside 60 days. The filing is listed beside the story “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF.”
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who collects and who pays in defense
Companies mentioned with this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
For “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
- XAR Spdr Series Trust
For “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
- CGTL Creative Global Technology Holdings
Creative Global Technology Holdings (CGTL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF.” Reason on file: GA selected CGTL as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: technology, global. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- GMM Global Mofy AI
Global Mofy AI (GMM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF.” Reason on file: GA selected GMM as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: global, ai. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- SUPX SuperX AI Technology
In “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF,” SuperX AI Technology (SUPX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected SUPX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: technology, ai. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- ABAT American Battery Technology
For “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF,” American Battery Technology (ABAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ABAT as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: technology. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- ACM Aecom
In “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF,” Aecom (ACM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ACM as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: technology. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- AI C3.ai
In “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF,” C3.ai (AI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AI as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: ai. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the defense link
On 13 Oct 2026, “Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF” is the story that connects IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to Defense.
For IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), the reason on file says Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XAR): Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
Dates in the story, and the IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) price range
CGTL traded between 3.05 and 4.62 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 3.08. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.
What the saved facts support for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
46 out of 100
“Global economy to slow less than expected in 2026 as AI boom offsets war hit: IMF” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 11 linked companies.