Geopolitics Alpha

Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October

Published . Updated .

The Fed is likely to raise rates by 25 basis points in October, Goldman said, drawing attention to Fed's own hawkish near term rate projections.

Directly affected

  • GS Goldman Sachs Group

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

  • FAS DIREXION DAILY FINANCIAL BULL 3X ETF

    GA selected FAS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AGZD WISDOMTREE INTEREST RATE HEDGED U.S. AGGREGATE BOND FUND

    GA selected AGZD as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: rate. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
GS———————
TLT———————
IEF———————
SHY———————
SPY———————
JPM———————
BAC———————
XLF———————
KRE———————
FAS———————
AGZD———————

The price since 17 Sep 2026: Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October,” Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS) is -5.22%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.65% over the same days, a -5.88% difference versus the market.

FAS
SPY

Who is named in “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October”

Companies carried with this story

  • FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf

    Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 17 Sep 2026 story “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October.” Reason on file: GA selected FAS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Rate-policy changes can alter funding costs, net-interest margins, and financial-sector valuation

  • KRE Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 17 Sep 2026 story “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October.” Reason on file: Rate-policy changes can alter funding costs, net-interest margins, and financial-sector valuation

  • AGZD Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund

    Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 17 Sep 2026 story “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October.” Reason on file: GA selected AGZD as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: rate. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BOCT Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October

    For “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October,” Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (BOCT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BOCT as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: october. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FOCT Ft Vest U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October

    In “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October,” Ft Vest U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (FOCT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected FOCT as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: october. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GBIL Goldman Sachs Etf Tr

    For “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October,” Goldman Sachs Etf Tr (GBIL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected GBIL as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: goldman. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GBND Goldman Sachs Etf Tr

    Goldman Sachs Etf Tr (GBND) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 17 Sep 2026 story “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October.” Reason on file: GA selected GBND as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: goldman. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

How “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October” reaches Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS)

On 17 Sep 2026, “Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October” is the story that connects Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS) to this story.

The link for Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS) is this: GA selected FAS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF), is listed for a different reason: Rate-policy changes can alter funding costs, net-interest margins, and financial-sector valuation

Dates in the story, and the Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS) price range

FAS traded between 136.16 and 161.95 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 152.93. KRE traded between 67.80 and 72.65 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 69.27. XLF traded between 52.82 and 56.03 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 55.07.

A simple score for Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Etf (FAS)

100 out of 100

“Goldman pivots, now forecasts Fed rate hike in October” scores 100 out of 100. The score uses 13 linked companies.