Geopolitics Alpha

He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish

Published . Updated .

Investors have become accustomed to returns distorted by artificially low interest rates. 5% on bonds and 6% on stocks are more realistic and Bianco finds value in U.S. Treasury notes now.

Directly affected

  • BLSH Bullish

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

  • EDV VANGUARD EXTENDED DURATION TREASURY ETF

    GA selected EDV as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
BLSH———————
TLT———————
IEF———————
SHY———————
SPY———————
JPM———————
BAC———————
GS———————
XLF———————
KRE———————
EDV———————

How far Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV) has moved since 30 Sep 2026

Since the first closing price after “He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish,” Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV) is +3.83%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.33% over the same days, a +3.50% difference versus the market.

EDV
SPY

Who gains and who loses around Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • EDV Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf

    In “He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish,” Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected EDV as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GOVZ Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf

    Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Sep 2026 story “He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish.” Reason on file: GA selected GOVZ as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BBLB Jpmorgan Betabuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 20 Year Etf

    In “He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish,” Jpmorgan Betabuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 20 Year Etf (BBLB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BBLB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BKHY Bny Mellon High Yield Etf

    Bny Mellon High Yield Etf (BKHY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Sep 2026 story “He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish.” Reason on file: GA selected BKHY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: yields. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AGGY Wisdomtree Yield Enhanced Us Bond Fund

    For “He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish,” Wisdomtree Yield Enhanced Us Bond Fund (AGGY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AGGY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: yields. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AOHY Angel Oak High Yield Opportunities Etf

    For “He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish,” Angel Oak High Yield Opportunities Etf (AOHY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AOHY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: yields. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV)

On 30 Sep 2026, “He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish” is the story that connects Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV) to this story.

Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV) is on the page because GA selected EDV as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

A second company, Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ), is listed for a different reason: GA selected GOVZ as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Dates in the story, and the Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV) price range

BBLB traded between 72.46 and 73.55 across 3 sessions. The latest close on file is 73.55. EDV traded between 53.39 and 60.42 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 56.97. GOVZ traded between 29.90 and 33.87 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 32.20.

What the saved facts support for Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Etf (EDV)

100 out of 100

“He’s been badmouthing Treasury bonds since 2020, but ‘the big fat cushion’ of 5.25% yields is turning this strategist bullish” scores 100 out of 100. The score uses 6 linked companies.