Geopolitics Alpha

Here’s how much the AI boom is really contributing to inflation, according to Goldman Sachs calculations

Published . Updated .

Goldman believes the core inflation rate will revert toward the Fed’s 2% target in 2027.

Directly affected

  • GS Goldman Sachs Group

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
GS———————
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
GD———————
ITA———————
BA———————
LHX———————
HII———————

Goldman believes the core inflation rate will revert toward the Fed’s 2% target in 2027.

Source: MarketWatch

Defense

SPY
XLI

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the defense case looks

25 out of 100

“Here’s how much the AI boom is really contributing to inflation, according to Goldman Sachs calculations” scores 25 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources.