How to Survive a Trade War

Published 13 Oct 2026, 13:50 UTC. Updated 13 Oct 2026, 16:55 UTC.

How to Survive a Trade War CBIA

Directly affected

No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

LMT Lockheed Martin
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
RTX RTX
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
NOC Northrop Grumman
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
GD General Dynamics
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense
A fund of aerospace and defense companies
BA Boeing
Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending
LHX L3Harris
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
HII Huntington Ingalls
Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises
XAR SPDR SERIES TRUST
Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia.
PPA INVESCO AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF
GA selected PPA as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

Ticker	T-5	T-3	T-1	T0	T+1	T+2	T+3
LMT	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
RTX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
NOC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
GD	-1.12%	-1.56%	—	-0.79%	-0.15%	+0.55%	+2.69%
ITA	+1.03%	-0.59%	—	-0.98%	-0.89%	+0.37%	+1.47%
BA	+0.18%	-0.93%	—	-1.56%	-2.60%	-0.40%	+0.30%
LHX	-0.18%	-0.55%	—	-1.46%	-0.27%	+0.99%	+4.32%
HII	-0.10%	+0.38%	—	-2.41%	+0.16%	+1.23%	+2.87%
XAR	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
PPA	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

How to Survive a Trade War CBIA

Source: CBIA

The price since 13 Oct 2026: Spdr Series Trust (XAR) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “How to Survive a Trade War,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is +1.18%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +1.57% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +1.38% difference versus that group of stocks.

Company	When	Move	Status
BA	that day	-1.56%	final price
BA	the next day	-2.60%	final price
BA	two days later	-0.40%	final price
BA	three days later	+0.30%	final price
BA	three days earlier	-0.93%	final price
BA	five days earlier	+0.18%	final price
GD	that day	-0.79%	final price
GD	the next day	-0.15%	final price
GD	two days later	+0.55%	final price
GD	three days later	+2.69%	final price
GD	three days earlier	-1.56%	final price
GD	five days earlier	-1.12%	final price
HII	that day	-2.41%	final price
HII	the next day	+0.16%	final price
HII	two days later	+1.23%	final price
HII	three days later	+2.87%	final price
HII	three days earlier	+0.38%	final price
HII	five days earlier	-0.10%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	that day	-0.98%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	the next day	-0.89%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	two days later	+0.37%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	three days later	+1.47%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	three days earlier	-0.59%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	five days earlier	+1.03%	final price
LHX	that day	-1.46%	final price
LHX	the next day	-0.27%	final price
LHX	two days later	+0.99%	final price
LHX	three days later	+4.32%	final price
LHX	three days earlier	-0.55%	final price
LHX	five days earlier	-0.18%	final price

XAR

SPY

XLI

Who collects and who pays in defense

Companies carried with this story

XAR Spdr Series Trust
In “How to Survive a Trade War,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “How to Survive a Trade War.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
PPA Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf
Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf (PPA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “How to Survive a Trade War.” Reason on file: GA selected PPA as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
WAR U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf
In “How to Survive a Trade War,” U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf (WAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected WAR as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
GLD Spdr Gold Trust
Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “How to Survive a Trade War.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction
TLT Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “How to Survive a Trade War.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
In “How to Survive a Trade War,” Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) and the defense link

The 13 Oct 2026 story “How to Survive a Trade War” names Spdr Series Trust (XAR) because of Defense.

The link for Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is this: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Also listed, IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA): Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

What this defense story puts on the calendar

ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. PPA traded between 151.56 and 162.12 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.07. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

A simple score for Spdr Series Trust (XAR)

46 out of 100

“How to Survive a Trade War” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.