IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs
Published . Updated .
IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs CNBC
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
Long-term bonds move when yields change
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond
Treasury bonds move when yields change
- SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates
- SPY SPDR S&P 500
Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path
- JPM JPMorgan Chase
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- BAC Bank of America
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- GS Goldman Sachs
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR
A fund of financial companies
- KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking
Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates
- UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE FUND LP
Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs CNBC
Source: CNBC
How far United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) has moved since 13 Oct 2026
Since the first closing price after “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -1.79%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a -1.40% difference versus the market.
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | that day | -1.14% | final price |
| BAC | the next day | -5.79% | final price |
| BAC | two days later | -5.30% | final price |
| BAC | three days later | -6.13% | final price |
| BAC | three days earlier | -1.80% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | -0.84% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | that day | -0.02% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | the next day | -0.60% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | two days later | -0.47% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | three days later | -0.74% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | three days earlier | -0.30% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | five days earlier | +1.46% | final price |
| GS | that day | -0.25% | final price |
| GS | the next day | -1.74% | final price |
| GS | two days later | -0.35% | final price |
| GS | three days later | -1.54% | final price |
| GS | three days earlier | -1.38% | final price |
| GS | five days earlier | +0.35% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | +0.12% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | the next day | +0.30% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | two days later | +1.02% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days later | +1.10% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | +0.01% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -0.35% | final price |
| JPM | that day | -0.91% | final price |
| JPM | the next day | +0.22% | final price |
| JPM | two days later | +0.29% | final price |
| JPM | three days later | +1.53% | final price |
| JPM | three days earlier | -0.92% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | -0.96% | final price |
Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
Companies mentioned with this story
- UGA United States Gasoline Fund
For “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
For “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- HYG Ishares Tr
In “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- IEI Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- MOO Vaneck Etf Trust
Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- XME Spdr Series Trust
Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
The 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs” names United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) because of this story.
What ties United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) to the headline is this: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
A second company, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG), is listed for a different reason: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
The price range for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA), and the dates in the story
GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. HYG traded between 76.40 and 78.75 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 76.82. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.
What the saved facts support for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
46 out of 100
“IMF chief economist on inflation, AI risks and rising borrowing costs” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 21 linked companies.