IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth

Published 13 Oct 2026, 19:56 UTC. Updated 13 Oct 2026, 23:51 UTC.

IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth Yahoo Finance

Directly affected

No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

FRO Frontline
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
INSW International Seaways
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
DHT DHT Holdings
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
TNK Teekay Tankers
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
USO United States Oil Fund
Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
Energy companies move with Iran supply risk
LMT Lockheed Martin
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
RTX RTX
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
XOM Exxon Mobil
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
DAL Delta Air Lines
Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

Ticker	T-5	T-3	T-1	T0	T+1	T+2	T+3
FRO	-10.86%	-5.02%	—	-0.34%	-5.00%	-11.28%	-11.40%
INSW	-6.27%	-1.98%	—	+0.59%	-4.52%	-8.98%	-11.54%
DHT	-10.35%	-5.03%	—	+1.26%	-4.92%	-10.67%	-10.10%
TNK	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
USO	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
XLE	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
LMT	-0.43%	-0.82%	—	-1.60%	+1.95%	+4.06%	+7.83%
RTX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
XOM	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
DAL	+4.42%	+2.56%	—	-0.71%	-4.31%	-2.55%	-5.92%

IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth Yahoo Finance

Source: Yahoo Finance

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -1.79%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a -1.40% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a -1.60% difference versus that group of stocks.

Company	When	Move	Status
DAL	that day	-0.71%	final price
DAL	the next day	-4.31%	final price
DAL	two days later	-2.55%	final price
DAL	three days later	-5.92%	final price
DAL	three days earlier	+2.56%	final price
DAL	five days earlier	+4.42%	final price
DHT	that day	+1.26%	final price
DHT	the next day	-4.92%	final price
DHT	two days later	-10.67%	final price
DHT	three days later	-10.10%	final price
DHT	three days earlier	-5.03%	final price
DHT	five days earlier	-10.35%	final price
FRO	that day	-0.34%	final price
FRO	the next day	-5.00%	final price
FRO	two days later	-11.28%	final price
FRO	three days later	-11.40%	final price
FRO	three days earlier	-5.02%	final price
FRO	five days earlier	-10.86%	final price
INSW	that day	+0.59%	final price
INSW	the next day	-4.52%	final price
INSW	two days later	-8.98%	final price
INSW	three days later	-11.54%	final price
INSW	three days earlier	-1.98%	final price
INSW	five days earlier	-6.27%	final price
LMT	that day	-1.60%	final price
LMT	the next day	+1.95%	final price
LMT	two days later	+4.06%	final price
LMT	three days later	+7.83%	final price
LMT	three days earlier	-0.82%	final price
LMT	five days earlier	-0.43%	final price

UGA

SPY

XLI

Companies in defense around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies mentioned with this story

UGA United States Gasoline Fund
In “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund
In “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
MOO Vaneck Etf Trust
For “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
XME Spdr Series Trust
For “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth,” Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
IWM Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
HYG Ishares Tr
In “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) and the defense link

On 13 Oct 2026, “IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth” is the story that connects United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) to Defense.

What ties United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) to the headline is this: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

A second company, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG), is listed for a different reason: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

What this defense story puts on the calendar

DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

How solid the defense case looks

46 out of 100

“IMF cites inflation risks from AI, Iran war contributing to slowing global growth” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 20 linked companies.