Geopolitics Alpha

IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting

Published . Updated .

IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting KELO-AM

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
GD-1.12%-1.56%—-0.79%-0.15%+0.55%+2.69%
TLT———————
IEF-0.35%+0.01%—+0.12%+0.30%+1.02%+1.10%
ITA+1.03%-0.59%—-0.98%-0.89%+0.37%+1.47%
BA+0.18%-0.93%—-1.56%-2.60%-0.40%+0.30%
LHX———————
HII-0.10%+0.38%—-2.41%+0.16%+1.23%+2.87%

IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting WTAQ

Source: WTAQ

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is +1.63%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +2.03% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +1.83% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BAthat day-1.56%final price
BAthe next day-2.60%final price
BAtwo days later-0.40%final price
BAthree days later+0.30%final price
BAthree days earlier-0.93%final price
BAfive days earlier+0.18%final price
GDthat day-0.79%final price
GDthe next day-0.15%final price
GDtwo days later+0.55%final price
GDthree days later+2.69%final price
GDthree days earlier-1.56%final price
GDfive days earlier-1.12%final price
HIIthat day-2.41%final price
HIIthe next day+0.16%final price
HIItwo days later+1.23%final price
HIIthree days later+2.87%final price
HIIthree days earlier+0.38%final price
HIIfive days earlier-0.10%final price
IEFthat day+0.12%final price
IEFthe next day+0.30%final price
IEFtwo days later+1.02%final price
IEFthree days later+1.10%final price
IEFthree days earlier+0.01%final price
IEFfive days earlier-0.35%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-0.98%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)the next day-0.89%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)two days later+0.37%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days later+1.47%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-0.59%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier+1.03%final price
ITA
SPY
XLI

Who collects and who pays in defense

Companies mentioned with this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    For “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • AGZD Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund

    For “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting,” Wisdomtree Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Fund (AGZD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AGZD as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: rate. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • MKTN Federated Hermes Mdt Market Neutral Etf

    For “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting,” Federated Hermes Mdt Market Neutral Etf (MKTN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected MKTN as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: neutral. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • PFIX Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF

    Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF (PFIX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting.” Reason on file: GA selected PFIX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: rate. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • PPA Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf

    In “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting,” Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf (PPA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected PPA as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • WAR U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf

    U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf (WAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting.” Reason on file: GA selected WAR as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GLD Spdr Gold Trust

    For “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

How defense news reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is the company in “IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting,” the 13 Oct 2026 Defense story.

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is on the page because Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Dates in the story, and the IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) price range

AGZD traded between 22.49 and 22.70 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 22.56. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

The defense score for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

85 out of 100

“IMF expects gradual BOJ rate hike towards neutral setting” scores 85 out of 100. The score uses 6 sources, and 10 linked companies.