IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience"

Published 13 Oct 2026, 14:40 UTC. Updated 13 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC.

IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience" Axios

Directly affected

No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

LMT Lockheed Martin
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
RTX RTX
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
NOC Northrop Grumman
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
GD General Dynamics
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense
A fund of aerospace and defense companies
BA Boeing
Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending
LHX L3Harris
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
HII Huntington Ingalls
Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises
XAR SPDR SERIES TRUST
Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia.
WAR U.S. GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF
GA selected WAR as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense, global. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

Ticker	T-5	T-3	T-1	T0	T+1	T+2	T+3
LMT	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
RTX	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
NOC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
GD	-1.12%	-1.56%	—	-0.79%	-0.15%	+0.55%	+2.69%
ITA	+1.03%	-0.59%	—	-0.98%	-0.89%	+0.37%	+1.47%
BA	+0.18%	-0.93%	—	-1.56%	-2.60%	-0.40%	+0.30%
LHX	-0.18%	-0.55%	—	-1.46%	-0.27%	+0.99%	+4.32%
HII	-0.10%	+0.38%	—	-2.41%	+0.16%	+1.23%	+2.87%
XAR	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
WAR	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience" Axios

Source: Axios

The price since 13 Oct 2026: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience",” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is +1.63%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +2.03% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +1.83% difference versus that group of stocks.

Company	When	Move	Status
BA	that day	-1.56%	final price
BA	the next day	-2.60%	final price
BA	two days later	-0.40%	final price
BA	three days later	+0.30%	final price
BA	three days earlier	-0.93%	final price
BA	five days earlier	+0.18%	final price
GD	that day	-0.79%	final price
GD	the next day	-0.15%	final price
GD	two days later	+0.55%	final price
GD	three days later	+2.69%	final price
GD	three days earlier	-1.56%	final price
GD	five days earlier	-1.12%	final price
HII	that day	-2.41%	final price
HII	the next day	+0.16%	final price
HII	two days later	+1.23%	final price
HII	three days later	+2.87%	final price
HII	three days earlier	+0.38%	final price
HII	five days earlier	-0.10%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	that day	-0.98%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	the next day	-0.89%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	two days later	+0.37%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	three days later	+1.47%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	three days earlier	-0.59%	final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)	five days earlier	+1.03%	final price
LHX	that day	-1.46%	final price
LHX	the next day	-0.27%	final price
LHX	two days later	+0.99%	final price
LHX	three days later	+4.32%	final price
LHX	three days earlier	-0.55%	final price
LHX	five days earlier	-0.18%	final price

ITA

SPY

XLI

Who gains and who loses around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

Companies mentioned with this story

ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
For “IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience",” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
XAR Spdr Series Trust
Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience".” Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
WAR U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf
In “IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience",” U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf (WAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected WAR as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense, global. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
WDGF Wisdomtree Global Defense Fund
Wisdomtree Global Defense Fund (WDGF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience".” Reason on file: GA selected WDGF as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense, global. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
JETS U.S. Global Jets Etf
In “IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience",” U.S. Global Jets Etf (JETS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected JETS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: global. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
RYLD Global X Msci Greece Etf
In “IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience",” Global X Msci Greece Etf (RYLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected RYLD as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: global. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
SLGB Smart Logistics Global
For “IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience",” Smart Logistics Global (SLGB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected SLGB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: global, limits. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
GLD Spdr Gold Trust
For “IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience",” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the defense link

“IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience"” (13 Oct 2026) reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) through Defense.

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is on the page because Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Price levels for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. WAR traded between 27.98 and 32.67 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.45. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

How strong the case is around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

46 out of 100

“IMF warns global economy nearing "limits of resilience"” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.