Geopolitics Alpha

India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts

Published . Updated .

India's inflation in August accelerated for the tenth month straight to 4.82% in August amid rising food and fuel prices.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

  • UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE FUND LP

    Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF———————
SHY———————
SPY———————
JPM———————
BAC———————
GS———————
XLF———————
KRE———————
UGA———————

India's inflation in August accelerated for the tenth month straight to 4.82% in August amid rising food and fuel prices.

Source: CNBC Top

Price since this story was published: United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Since the first closing price after “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -0.55%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.21% over the same days, a -1.77% difference versus the market.

UGA
SPY

Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies tied to this story

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    For “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 14 Sep 2026 story “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 14 Sep 2026 story “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XME Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 14 Sep 2026 story “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    For “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • HYG Ishares Tr

    In “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

The 14 Sep 2026 story “India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts” names United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) because of this story.

The link for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is this: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Also listed, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG): Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Price levels for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

How strong the case is around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

46 out of 100

“India's inflation rises to 4.82% in August, marginally exceeding forecasts” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 21 linked companies.