Inflation Outlook
Published . Updated .
Inflation Outlook The American Action Forum
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
Long-term bonds move when yields change
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond
Treasury bonds move when yields change
- SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates
- SPY SPDR S&P 500
Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path
- JPM JPMorgan Chase
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- BAC Bank of America
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- GS Goldman Sachs
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR
A fund of financial companies
- KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking
Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates
- UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE FUND LP
Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
Inflation Outlook The American Action Forum
Source: The American Action Forum
The price since 13 Oct 2026: United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) versus the S&P 500
Since the first closing price after “Inflation Outlook,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -1.79%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a -1.40% difference versus the market.
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | that day | -1.14% | final price |
| BAC | the next day | -5.79% | final price |
| BAC | two days later | -5.30% | final price |
| BAC | three days later | -6.13% | final price |
| BAC | three days earlier | -1.80% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | -0.84% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | that day | -0.02% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | the next day | -0.60% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | two days later | -0.47% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | three days later | -0.74% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | three days earlier | -0.30% | final price |
| Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) | five days earlier | +1.46% | final price |
| GS | that day | -0.25% | final price |
| GS | the next day | -1.74% | final price |
| GS | two days later | -0.35% | final price |
| GS | three days later | -1.54% | final price |
| GS | three days earlier | -1.38% | final price |
| GS | five days earlier | +0.35% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | that day | +0.12% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | the next day | +0.30% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | two days later | +1.02% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days later | +1.10% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | +0.01% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -0.35% | final price |
| JPM | that day | -0.91% | final price |
| JPM | the next day | +0.22% | final price |
| JPM | two days later | +0.29% | final price |
| JPM | three days later | +1.53% | final price |
| JPM | three days earlier | -0.92% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | -0.96% | final price |
Who is named in “Inflation Outlook”
Companies tied to this story
- UGA United States Gasoline Fund
In “Inflation Outlook,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Inflation Outlook.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- XME Spdr Series Trust
For “Inflation Outlook,” Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “Inflation Outlook,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- IWM Ishares Tr
In “Inflation Outlook,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- HYG Ishares Tr
In “Inflation Outlook,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- IEI Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Inflation Outlook.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund
For “Inflation Outlook,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
How “Inflation Outlook” reaches United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is the company in “Inflation Outlook,” the 13 Oct 2026 this story story.
United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is on the page because Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
A second company, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG), is listed for a different reason: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
Dates and price levels for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49. XME traded between 97.40 and 111.52 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 101.31.
How solid “Inflation Outlook” looks
46 out of 100
“Inflation Outlook” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 20 linked companies.