Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says
Published . Updated .
Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says Iran International
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- FRO Frontline
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
- INSW International Seaways
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
- DHT DHT Holdings
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
- TNK Teekay Tankers
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
- USO United States Oil Fund
Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
Energy companies move with Iran supply risk
- LMT Lockheed Martin
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- RTX RTX
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- XOM Exxon Mobil
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- DAL Delta Air Lines
Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says Iran International
Source: Iran International
The price since 13 Oct 2026: Spdr Series Trust (XAR) versus the S&P 500
Since the first closing price after “Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is +1.18%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +1.57% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +1.38% difference versus that group of stocks.
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | that day | -0.71% | final price |
| DAL | the next day | -4.31% | final price |
| DAL | two days later | -2.55% | final price |
| DAL | three days later | -5.92% | final price |
| DAL | three days earlier | +2.56% | final price |
| DAL | five days earlier | +4.42% | final price |
| DHT | that day | +1.26% | final price |
| DHT | the next day | -4.92% | final price |
| DHT | two days later | -10.67% | final price |
| DHT | three days later | -10.10% | final price |
| DHT | three days earlier | -5.03% | final price |
| DHT | five days earlier | -10.35% | final price |
| FRO | that day | -0.34% | final price |
| FRO | the next day | -5.00% | final price |
| FRO | two days later | -11.28% | final price |
| FRO | three days later | -11.40% | final price |
| FRO | three days earlier | -5.02% | final price |
| FRO | five days earlier | -10.86% | final price |
| INSW | that day | +0.59% | final price |
| INSW | the next day | -4.52% | final price |
| INSW | two days later | -8.98% | final price |
| INSW | three days later | -11.54% | final price |
| INSW | three days earlier | -1.98% | final price |
| INSW | five days earlier | -6.27% | final price |
| LMT | that day | -1.60% | final price |
| LMT | the next day | +1.95% | final price |
| LMT | two days later | +4.06% | final price |
| LMT | three days later | +7.83% | final price |
| LMT | three days earlier | -0.82% | final price |
| LMT | five days earlier | -0.43% | final price |
Companies in defense around Spdr Series Trust (XAR)
Companies tied to this story
- XAR Spdr Series Trust
Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
- HYG Ishares Tr
In “Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Weakening demand and tighter credit can transmit into high-yield credit, small caps, discretionary spending, growth equities, real estate, banks, and Treasury pricing
- IWM Ishares Tr
In “Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Weakening demand and tighter credit can transmit into high-yield credit, small caps, discretionary spending, growth equities, real estate, banks, and Treasury pricing
- XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Weakening demand and tighter credit can transmit into high-yield credit, small caps, discretionary spending, growth equities, real estate, banks, and Treasury pricing
- QQQ Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1
For “Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says,” Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Weakening demand and tighter credit can transmit into high-yield credit, small caps, discretionary spending, growth equities, real estate, banks, and Treasury pricing
- IEI Ishares Tr
For “Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says,” Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Weakening demand and tighter credit can transmit into high-yield credit, small caps, discretionary spending, growth equities, real estate, banks, and Treasury pricing
- XLRE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says.” Reason on file: Weakening demand and tighter credit can transmit into high-yield credit, small caps, discretionary spending, growth equities, real estate, banks, and Treasury pricing
Spdr Series Trust (XAR) and the defense link
“Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says” (13 Oct 2026) reaches Spdr Series Trust (XAR) through Defense.
The link for Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is this: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
Also listed, IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA): Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
The price range for Spdr Series Trust (XAR), and the dates in the story
HYG traded between 76.40 and 78.75 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 76.82. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.
The defense score for Spdr Series Trust (XAR)
46 out of 100
“Iran faces far deeper recession than war-hit region, IMF says” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 16 linked companies.