Geopolitics Alpha

Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief

Published . Updated .

Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief Seeking Alpha

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
GD———————
XOM———————
CVX-2.61%-3.22%—+1.43%+2.75%+4.76%+3.48%
ITA———————
BA+1.20%-1.13%—-0.50%-2.05%-3.08%-0.90%
LHX———————
HII———————

Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief Seeking Alpha

Source: Seeking Alpha

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) compared with industrial stocks (XLI) since 11 Oct 2026

Since the first closing price after “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -3.52%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a -2.05% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -1.43%, a -2.09% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BAthat day-0.50%final price
BAthe next day-2.05%final price
BAtwo days later-3.08%final price
BAthree days later-0.90%final price
BAthree days earlier-1.13%final price
BAfive days earlier+1.20%final price
CVXthat day+1.43%final price
CVXthe next day+2.75%final price
CVXtwo days later+4.76%final price
CVXthree days later+3.48%final price
CVXthree days earlier-3.22%final price
CVXfive days earlier-2.61%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)that day+0.37%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)the next day+0.35%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)two days later-0.23%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days later-0.11%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days earlier+0.60%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)five days earlier+0.44%final price
First Trust Global Wind Energy Etf (FAN)that day0.00%final price
First Trust Global Wind Energy Etf (FAN)the next day+1.23%final price
First Trust Global Wind Energy Etf (FAN)two days later-1.09%final price
First Trust Global Wind Energy Etf (FAN)three days later-1.04%final price
First Trust Global Wind Energy Etf (FAN)three days earlier+0.59%final price
First Trust Global Wind Energy Etf (FAN)five days earlier+1.81%final price
Fidelity Clean Energy Etf (FRNW)that day-0.07%final price
Fidelity Clean Energy Etf (FRNW)the next day+0.36%final price
Fidelity Clean Energy Etf (FRNW)two days later-2.89%final price
Fidelity Clean Energy Etf (FRNW)three days later-3.41%final price
Fidelity Clean Energy Etf (FRNW)three days earlier+0.02%final price
Fidelity Clean Energy Etf (FRNW)five days earlier+0.45%final price
UGA
SPY
XLI

Companies in defense around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies carried with this story

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    For “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XME Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    In “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • HYG Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

How defense news reaches United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

On 11 Oct 2026, “Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief” is the story that connects United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) to Defense.

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is on the page because Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is here too. Its reason reads: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

The price range for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA), and the dates in the story

DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

How solid the defense case looks

46 out of 100

“Marko Kolanovic calls Trump’s energy ceasefire a ‘con,’ Tom Lee sees potential inflation relief” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 15 linked companies.