Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says
Published . Updated .
Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says Al Jazeera
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- LMT Lockheed Martin
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- RTX RTX
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- NOC Northrop Grumman
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- GD General Dynamics
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense
A fund of aerospace and defense companies
- BA Boeing
Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending
- LHX L3Harris
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- HII Huntington Ingalls
Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises
- XAR SPDR SERIES TRUST
Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia.
- PPA INVESCO AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF
GA selected PPA as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says Al Jazeera
Source: Al Jazeera
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) compared with industrial stocks (XLI) since 13 Oct 2026
Since the first closing price after “Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is +1.63%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +2.03% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -0.20%, a +1.83% difference versus that group of stocks.
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BA | that day | -1.56% | final price |
| BA | the next day | -2.60% | final price |
| BA | two days later | -0.40% | final price |
| BA | three days later | +0.30% | final price |
| BA | three days earlier | -0.93% | final price |
| BA | five days earlier | +0.18% | final price |
| GD | that day | -0.79% | final price |
| GD | the next day | -0.15% | final price |
| GD | two days later | +0.55% | final price |
| GD | three days later | +2.69% | final price |
| GD | three days earlier | -1.56% | final price |
| GD | five days earlier | -1.12% | final price |
| HII | that day | -2.41% | final price |
| HII | the next day | +0.16% | final price |
| HII | two days later | +1.23% | final price |
| HII | three days later | +2.87% | final price |
| HII | three days earlier | +0.38% | final price |
| HII | five days earlier | -0.10% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | that day | -0.98% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | the next day | -0.89% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | two days later | +0.37% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days later | +1.47% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | -0.59% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | +1.03% | final price |
| LHX | that day | -1.46% | final price |
| LHX | the next day | -0.27% | final price |
| LHX | two days later | +0.99% | final price |
| LHX | three days later | +4.32% | final price |
| LHX | three days earlier | -0.55% | final price |
| LHX | five days earlier | -0.18% | final price |
Middle East, seven days against thirty
Middle East has 0 linked stories in the last 7 days and 0 in the last 30 on the page that also carries “Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says.”
Who gains and who pays if Middle East stays in the story
Companies mentioned with this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
- XAR Spdr Series Trust
For “Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
- PPA Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf
For “Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says,” Invesco Aerospace & Defense Etf (PPA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected PPA as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- WAR U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf
For “Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says,” U.S. Global Technology And Aerospace & Defense Etf (WAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected WAR as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- GLD Spdr Gold Trust
For “Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction
- TLT Ishares Tr
In “Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction
- UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the defense link
“Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says” (13 Oct 2026) reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) through Middle East.
What ties IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to the headline is this: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is here too. Its reason reads: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia
The price range for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), and the dates in the story
ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. PPA traded between 151.56 and 162.12 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 156.07. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.
What the saved facts support for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
46 out of 100
“Middle East and Central Asia’s economy to shrink in 2026 amid war, IMF says” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.