Geopolitics Alpha

Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike

Published . Updated .

Morgan Stanley previously thought the Federal Open Market Committee would leave rates unchanged, but now thinks the U.S. central bank will hike interest rates.

Directly affected

  • MS Morgan Stanley

    Named in this report.

  • GS Goldman Sachs Group

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

  • ALLY ALLY FINANCIAL INC

    GA selected ALLY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • BMO BANK MONTREAL MEDIUM

    GA selected BMO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bank. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
MS———————
GS———————
TLT———————
IEF———————
SHY———————
SPY———————
JPM———————
BAC———————
XLF———————
KRE———————
ALLY———————
BMO———————

How far Morgan Stanley (MS) has moved since 15 Sep 2026

Since the first closing price after “Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike,” Morgan Stanley (MS) is -11.84%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.66% over the same days, a -13.50% difference versus the market.

MS
SPY

Official trades in Morgan Stanley (MS) around 15 Sep 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Morgan Stanley (MS)

Companies tied to this story

  • MS Morgan Stanley

    For “Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike,” Morgan Stanley (MS) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: The reported development directly names MORGAN STANLEY in the headline; GA resolved that company to MS

  • GS Goldman Sachs Group

    For “Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike,” Goldman Sachs Group (GS) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: The reported development directly names GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC in the headline; GA resolved that company to GS

  • ALLY Ally Financial

    Ally Financial (ALLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike.” Reason on file: GA selected ALLY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BAC Bank Of America

    For “Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BAC as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bank. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/

    Bank Of Montreal /Can/ (BMO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike.” Reason on file: GA selected BMO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bank. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/

    For “Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike,” Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected CM as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: bank. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • CRBG Corebridge Financial

    For “Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike,” Corebridge Financial (CRBG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected CRBG as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • EFC Ellington Financial

    For “Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike,” Ellington Financial (EFC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected EFC as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: financial. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Morgan Stanley (MS)

“Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike” (15 Sep 2026) reaches Morgan Stanley (MS) through this story.

Morgan Stanley (MS) is on the page because The reported development directly names MORGAN STANLEY in the headline; GA resolved that company to MS

Also listed, Goldman Sachs Group (GS): The reported development directly names GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC in the headline; GA resolved that company to GS

Price levels for Morgan Stanley (MS)

ALLY traded between 36.18 and 40.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.53. GS traded between 859.56 and 967.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 875.50. MS traded between 176.46 and 205.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 178.53.

What the saved facts support for Morgan Stanley (MS)

100 out of 100

“Morgan Stanley joins Goldman Sachs in 11th-hour switch to predict a Fed hike” scores 100 out of 100. The score uses 10 linked companies.