MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike

Published 12 Oct 2026, 01:45 UTC. Updated 12 Oct 2026, 06:46 UTC.

MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike investingLive

Directly affected

No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
Long-term bonds move when yields change
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond
Treasury bonds move when yields change
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates
SPY SPDR S&P 500
Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path
JPM JPMorgan Chase
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
BAC Bank of America
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
GS Goldman Sachs
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR
A fund of financial companies
KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking
Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates
UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE FUND LP
Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

Ticker	T-5	T-3	T-1	T0	T+1	T+2	T+3
TLT	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
IEF	-0.55%	-0.31%	—	+0.04%	+0.16%	+0.34%	+1.06%
SHY	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
SPY	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
JPM	-0.20%	-1.04%	—	+0.47%	-0.44%	+0.70%	+0.77%
BAC	-0.48%	-1.44%	—	+0.48%	-0.66%	-5.34%	-4.84%
GS	-0.18%	-0.88%	—	-0.12%	-0.37%	-1.86%	-0.47%
XLF	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
KRE	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
UGA	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike investingLive

Source: investingLive

Price since this story was published: United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Since the first closing price after “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -1.70%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a -0.23% difference versus the market.

Company	When	Move	Status
BAC	that day	+0.48%	final price
BAC	the next day	-0.66%	final price
BAC	two days later	-5.34%	final price
BAC	three days later	-4.84%	final price
BAC	three days earlier	-1.44%	final price
BAC	five days earlier	-0.48%	final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)	that day	+0.37%	final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)	the next day	+0.35%	final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)	two days later	-0.23%	final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)	three days later	-0.11%	final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)	three days earlier	+0.60%	final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)	five days earlier	+0.44%	final price
GS	that day	-0.12%	final price
GS	the next day	-0.37%	final price
GS	two days later	-1.86%	final price
GS	three days later	-0.47%	final price
GS	three days earlier	-0.88%	final price
GS	five days earlier	-0.18%	final price
IEF	that day	+0.04%	final price
IEF	the next day	+0.16%	final price
IEF	two days later	+0.34%	final price
IEF	three days later	+1.06%	final price
IEF	three days earlier	-0.31%	final price
IEF	five days earlier	-0.55%	final price
JPM	that day	+0.47%	final price
JPM	the next day	-0.44%	final price
JPM	two days later	+0.70%	final price
JPM	three days later	+0.77%	final price
JPM	three days earlier	-1.04%	final price
JPM	five days earlier	-0.20%	final price

UGA

SPY

Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies tied to this story

UGA United States Gasoline Fund
In “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund
For “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
HYG Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
IEI Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
MOO Vaneck Etf Trust
For “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
XME Spdr Series Trust
In “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike,” Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

The 12 Oct 2026 story “MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike” names United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) because of this story.

What ties United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) to the headline is this: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

A second company, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG), is listed for a different reason: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Dates and price levels for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

A simple score for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

46 out of 100

“MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 17 linked companies.