Geopolitics Alpha

Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025

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Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025 Numerator

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

  • IEI ISHARES TR

    Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF-0.35%+0.01%—+0.12%+0.30%+1.02%+1.10%
SHY———————
SPY———————
JPM-0.96%-0.92%—-0.91%+0.22%+0.29%+1.53%
BAC-0.84%-1.80%—-1.14%-5.79%-5.30%-6.13%
GS+0.35%-1.38%—-0.25%-1.74%-0.35%-1.54%
XLF———————
KRE———————
IEI———————

Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025 Numerator

Source: Numerator

How far Ishares Tr (IEI) has moved since 13 Oct 2026

Since the first closing price after “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025,” Ishares Tr (IEI) is +0.33%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +0.72% difference versus the market.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day-1.14%final price
BACthe next day-5.79%final price
BACtwo days later-5.30%final price
BACthree days later-6.13%final price
BACthree days earlier-1.80%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.84%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)that day-0.02%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)the next day-0.60%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)two days later-0.47%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days later-0.74%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days earlier-0.30%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)five days earlier+1.46%final price
GSthat day-0.25%final price
GSthe next day-1.74%final price
GStwo days later-0.35%final price
GSthree days later-1.54%final price
GSthree days earlier-1.38%final price
GSfive days earlier+0.35%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day+0.12%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)the next day+0.30%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)two days later+1.02%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days later+1.10%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier+0.01%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-0.35%final price
JPMthat day-0.91%final price
JPMthe next day+0.22%final price
JPMtwo days later+0.29%final price
JPMthree days later+1.53%final price
JPMthree days earlier-0.92%final price
JPMfive days earlier-0.96%final price
IEI
SPY

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (IEI)

Companies carried with this story

  • IEI Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    In “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XME Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Ishares Tr (IEI)

The 13 Oct 2026 story “Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025” names Ishares Tr (IEI) because of this story.

Ishares Tr (IEI) is on the page because Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is here too. Its reason reads: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Dates in the story, and the Ishares Tr (IEI) price range

GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. IEI traded between 113.03 and 114.41 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 113.99. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

A simple score for Ishares Tr (IEI)

46 out of 100

“Numerator Consumer Goods Price Index: Inflation Holds Steady After Two Months of Cooling, Prices Up 2.1% vs. September 2025” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 21 linked companies.