Geopolitics Alpha

Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy

Published . Updated .

Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy WSJ

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
GD-1.80%-0.34%—+0.64%+1.35%+3.50%+2.66%
XOM———————
CVX-5.81%-2.68%—+1.96%+0.71%+3.29%+3.06%
ITA-0.22%+1.27%—+0.09%+1.36%+2.47%+1.74%
BA+0.94%+2.10%—-1.05%+1.18%+1.89%+2.59%
LHX———————
HII+1.16%+2.68%—+2.63%+3.73%+5.41%+4.60%

Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy WSJ

Source: The Wall Street Journal

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +2.21%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.67% over the same days, a +2.88% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +1.88%, a +0.33% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BAthat day-1.05%final price
BAthe next day+1.18%final price
BAtwo days later+1.89%final price
BAthree days later+2.59%final price
BAthree days earlier+2.10%final price
BAfive days earlier+0.94%final price
CVXthat day+1.96%final price
CVXthe next day+0.71%final price
CVXtwo days later+3.29%final price
CVXthree days later+3.06%final price
CVXthree days earlier-2.68%final price
CVXfive days earlier-5.81%final price
GDthat day+0.64%final price
GDthe next day+1.35%final price
GDtwo days later+3.50%final price
GDthree days later+2.66%final price
GDthree days earlier-0.34%final price
GDfive days earlier-1.80%final price
HIIthat day+2.63%final price
HIIthe next day+3.73%final price
HIItwo days later+5.41%final price
HIIthree days later+4.60%final price
HIIthree days earlier+2.68%final price
HIIfive days earlier+1.16%final price
ITAthat day+0.09%final price
ITAthe next day+1.36%final price
ITAtwo days later+2.47%final price
ITAthree days later+1.74%final price
ITAthree days earlier+1.27%final price
ITAfive days earlier-0.22%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Who reported a United States Oil Fund (USO) trade near this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    In “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 14 Oct 2026 story “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 14 Oct 2026 story “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    In “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    In “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    In “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BE Bloom Energy

    For “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 14 Oct 2026, “Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

A second company, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), is listed for a different reason: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Opinion | War-Caused Oil Price Spikes Don’t Help the U.S. Economy” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.