Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike
Published . Updated .
The fresh inflation data prompted traders in interest rate futures to increase the probability that the Federal Reserve will push up the main rate next week.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
Long-term bonds move when yields change
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond
Treasury bonds move when yields change
- SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates
- SPY SPDR S&P 500
Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path
- XOM Exxon Mobil
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- CVX Chevron
Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise
- JPM JPMorgan Chase
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- BAC Bank of America
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- GS Goldman Sachs
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR
A fund of financial companies
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
The fresh inflation data prompted traders in interest rate futures to increase the probability that the Federal Reserve will push up the main rate next week.
Source: Multifamily Dive
The price since 12 Sep 2026: United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) versus the S&P 500
Since the first closing price after “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is +3.77%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.77% over the same days, a +3.00% difference versus the market.
Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
Companies mentioned with this story
- UGA United States Gasoline Fund
United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Sep 2026 story “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
In “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund
For “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- MOO Vaneck Etf Trust
In “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- XME Spdr Series Trust
In “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike,” Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Sep 2026 story “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- IWM Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Sep 2026 story “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- HYG Ishares Tr
In “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
On 12 Sep 2026, “Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike” is the story that connects United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) to this story.
For United States Gasoline Fund (UGA), the reason on file says Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is here too. Its reason reads: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
Dates in the story, and the United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) price range
DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.
What the saved facts support for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
46 out of 100
“Producer price index rises on energy price surge, lifts odds of Fed hike” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 23 linked companies.