Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years
Published . Updated .
New government inflation data points to a higher Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2027. Here's what experts estimate the change may be.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
Long-term bonds move when yields change
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond
Treasury bonds move when yields change
- SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates
- SPY SPDR S&P 500
Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path
- JPM JPMorgan Chase
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- BAC Bank of America
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- GS Goldman Sachs
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR
A fund of financial companies
- KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking
Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates
- UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE FUND LP
Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
New government inflation data points to a higher Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2027. Here's what experts estimate the change may be.
Source: CNBC Top
Price since this story was published: United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
Since the first closing price after “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is +3.77%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.77% over the same days, a +3.00% difference versus the market.
Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
Companies carried with this story
- UGA United States Gasoline Fund
For “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Sep 2026 story “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- IWM Ishares Tr
In “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- HYG Ishares Tr
In “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- IEI Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Sep 2026 story “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Sep 2026 story “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund
For “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
- MOO Vaneck Etf Trust
In “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is the company in “Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years,” the 12 Sep 2026 this story story.
United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is on the page because Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY), is listed for a different reason: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations
Price levels for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
IWM traded between 269.88 and 288.91 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 271.30. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49. XLY traded between 110.56 and 114.69 across 12 sessions. The latest close on file is 114.45.
A simple score for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)
46 out of 100
“Social Security COLA for 2027 may be 3.5% to 3.6%, new estimates show — the highest in 3 years” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 18 linked companies.