Geopolitics Alpha

Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning

Published . Updated .

Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning Говорит НеМосква

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when sanctioned supply is blocked

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers move when sanctioned barrels leave the market

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers move when sanctioned barrels leave the market

  • AAPL Apple

    Sales and supply chains are exposed to a new tariff

  • NKE Nike

    Sales and supply chains are exposed to a new tariff

  • SLB SLB

    Oilfield work in sanctioned regions can be cut off

  • GLD SPDR Gold Shares

    Gold is a usual haven when a conflict or sanction escalates

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    The broad market moves when a major sanction lands

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLE———————
USO———————
XOM———————
CVX-2.61%-3.22%—+1.43%+2.75%+4.76%+3.48%
AAPL-1.00%+0.03%—+1.36%+1.44%+1.94%+1.62%
NKE-2.17%-1.04%—+1.77%+1.79%+1.71%+7.04%
SLB———————
GLD-1.32%-2.27%—-0.63%-0.76%-2.24%-0.50%
LMT-0.61%-2.04%—+0.48%-1.13%+2.44%+4.55%
SPY———————

Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning Говорит НеМосква

Source: 블루밍비트

The price since 12 Oct 2026: United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -1.70%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a -0.23% difference versus the market.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
AAPLthat day+1.36%final price
AAPLthe next day+1.44%final price
AAPLtwo days later+1.94%final price
AAPLthree days later+1.62%final price
AAPLthree days earlier+0.03%final price
AAPLfive days earlier-1.00%final price
CVXthat day+1.43%final price
CVXthe next day+2.75%final price
CVXtwo days later+4.76%final price
CVXthree days later+3.48%final price
CVXthree days earlier-3.22%final price
CVXfive days earlier-2.61%final price
GLDthat day-0.63%final price
GLDthe next day-0.76%final price
GLDtwo days later-2.24%final price
GLDthree days later-0.50%final price
GLDthree days earlier-2.27%final price
GLDfive days earlier-1.32%final price
LMTthat day+0.48%final price
LMTthe next day-1.13%final price
LMTtwo days later+2.44%final price
LMTthree days later+4.55%final price
LMTthree days earlier-2.04%final price
LMTfive days earlier-0.61%final price
NKEthat day+1.77%final price
NKEthe next day+1.79%final price
NKEtwo days later+1.71%final price
NKEthree days later+7.04%final price
NKEthree days earlier-1.04%final price
NKEfive days earlier-2.17%final price
UGA
SPY

Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies tied to this story

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    For “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XME Spdr Series Trust

    For “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning,” Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    In “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • HYG Ishares Tr

    For “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IEI Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

The 12 Oct 2026 story “Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning” names United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) because of this story.

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is on the page because Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

A second company, Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO), is listed for a different reason: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Dates in the story, and the United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) price range

MOO traded between 80.33 and 85.25 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 80.70. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49. XME traded between 97.40 and 111.52 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 101.31.

What the saved facts support for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

46 out of 100

“Tariffs and inflation: the increase from October 1 is just the beginning” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 15 linked companies.