Geopolitics Alpha

The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead

Published . Updated .

Not since the dot-com bubble have stocks thrown up this concerning metric.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • AA Alcoa Upstream Corp.

    GA selected AA as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAL AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

    GA selected AAL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAOI APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC COM

    GA selected AAOI as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAOX INVESTMENT MANAGERS SER TR I

    GA selected AAOX as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS

    GA selected AAP as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAPL APPLE INC

    GA selected AAPL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
AA———————
AAL———————
AAOI———————
AAOX———————
AAP———————
AAPL———————

Price since this story was published: Alcoa (AA)

Since the first closing price after “The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead,” Alcoa (AA) is -0.69%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +0.29% over the same days, a -0.98% difference versus the market.

AA
SPY

Filings that name Alcoa (AA) around 28 Sep 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Alcoa (AA)

Companies carried with this story

  • AA Alcoa

    For “The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead,” Alcoa (AA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AA as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAL American Airlines Group

    American Airlines Group (AAL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Sep 2026 story “The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead.” Reason on file: GA selected AAL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAOI Applied Optoelectronics

    In “The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead,” Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AAOI as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAOX Investment Managers Ser Tr I

    In “The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead,” Investment Managers Ser Tr I (AAOX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AAOX as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAP Advance Auto Parts

    Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Sep 2026 story “The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead.” Reason on file: GA selected AAP as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAPL Apple

    For “The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead,” Apple (AAPL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AAPL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Alcoa (AA)

Alcoa (AA) is the company in “The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead,” the 28 Sep 2026 this story story.

The link for Alcoa (AA) is this: GA selected AA as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

American Airlines Group (AAL) is here too. Its reason reads: GA selected AAL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

The price range for Alcoa (AA), and the dates in the story

AA traded between 38.85 and 46.06 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 41.67. AAL traded between 11.64 and 14.05 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 11.67. AAOI traded between 75.44 and 131.03 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 78.21.

How strong the case is around Alcoa (AA)

100 out of 100

“The history of this market’s bad-breadth signal points to risks ahead” scores 100 out of 100. The score uses 6 linked companies.