Geopolitics Alpha

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The hottest inflation prints since 2022 hit last week and Treasury yields FELL... which may mean the bond market is sniffing out a 1929-style bust The 10-year spiked to 5.33% on the CPI surprise, then dropped to 5.04% within 24 hours after a producer-pric

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The hottest inflation prints since 2022 hit last week and Treasury yields FELL... which may mean the bond market is sniffing out a 1929-style bust The 10-year spiked to 5.33% on the CPI surprise, then dropped to 5.04% within 24 hours after a producer-pric X

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLTβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
IEFβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
SHYβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
SPYβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
JPMβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
BACβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
GSβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
XLFβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
KREβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The hottest inflation prints since 2022 hit last week and Treasury yields FELL... which may mean the bond market is sniffing out a 1929-style bust The 10-year spiked to 5.33% on the CPI surprise, then dropped to 5.04% within 24 hours af…

Source: X

This story

12 out of 100

β€œπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The hottest inflation prints since 2022 hit last week and Treasury yields FELL... which may mean the bond market is sniffing out a 1929-style bust The 10-year spiked to 5.33% on the CPI surprise, then dropped to 5.04% within 24 hours after a producer-pric” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.