Geopolitics Alpha

The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe

Published . Updated .

The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe Kursiv Media Узбекистан

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • NOC Northrop Grumman

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • GD General Dynamics

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense

    A fund of aerospace and defense companies

  • BA Boeing

    Defense and aerospace orders move with conflict spending

  • LHX L3Harris

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • HII Huntington Ingalls

    Shipyards benefit when naval spending rises

  • XAR SPDR SERIES TRUST

    Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia.

  • BBEU J P MORGAN EXCHANGE-TRADED FD TR BETABUILDERS EUROPE ETF NEW

    GA selected BBEU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: europe. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
LMT———————
RTX———————
NOC———————
GD———————
ITA———————
BA———————
LHX———————
HII———————
XAR———————
BBEU———————

The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe Kursiv Media Узбекистан

Source: Kursiv Media Узбекистан

The price since 21 Sep 2026: Spdr Series Trust (XAR) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is -7.60%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.88% over the same days, a -6.72% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -2.10%, a -5.50% difference versus that group of stocks.

XAR
SPY
XLI

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) on one side of this defense story

Companies carried with this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 21 Sep 2026 story “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • BBEU J P Morgan Exchange-Traded Fd Tr Betabuilders Europe Etf New

    For “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe,” J P Morgan Exchange-Traded Fd Tr Betabuilders Europe Etf New (BBEU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BBEU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: europe. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • DFE Wisdomtree Europe Smallcap Dividend Fund

    In “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe,” Wisdomtree Europe Smallcap Dividend Fund (DFE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected DFE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: europe. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FEP First Trust Europe Alphadex Fund

    First Trust Europe Alphadex Fund (FEP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 21 Sep 2026 story “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe.” Reason on file: GA selected FEP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: europe. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FLEE Franklin Ftse Europe Etf

    In “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe,” Franklin Ftse Europe Etf (FLEE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected FLEE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: europe. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GSEU Goldman Sachs Activebeta Europe Equity Etf

    For “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe,” Goldman Sachs Activebeta Europe Equity Etf (GSEU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected GSEU as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: europe. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GLD Spdr Gold Trust

    For “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe,” Spdr Gold Trust (GLD) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Material security escalation can affect safe-haven and macro-risk proxies; this is a monitoring relationship, not a directional prediction

Spdr Series Trust (XAR) and the defense link

On 21 Sep 2026, “The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe” is the story that connects Spdr Series Trust (XAR) to Defense.

What ties Spdr Series Trust (XAR) to the headline is this: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

A second company, IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), is listed for a different reason: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

What this defense story puts on the calendar

BBEU traded between 73.95 and 78.04 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 75.31. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

The defense score for Spdr Series Trust (XAR)

54 out of 100

“The Wargame: Sky News debuts worst-case scenario of major war in Europe” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 10 linked companies.