Geopolitics Alpha

These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide

Published . Updated .

Tax-loss selling is likely to lead these 20 stocks to become artificially depressed in the fourth quarter — and therefore good bets to bounce back in the new year

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • AA Alcoa Upstream Corp.

    GA selected AA as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAL AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

    GA selected AAL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAOI APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC COM

    GA selected AAOI as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAOX INVESTMENT MANAGERS SER TR I

    GA selected AAOX as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS

    GA selected AAP as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

  • AAPL APPLE INC

    GA selected AAPL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
AA———————
AAL———————
AAOI———————
AAOX———————
AAP———————
AAPL———————

Tax-loss selling is likely to lead these 20 stocks to become artificially depressed in the fourth quarter — and therefore good bets to bounce back in the new year

Source: MarketWatch

The price since 21 Sep 2026: Alcoa (AA) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide,” Alcoa (AA) is -6.82%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.88% over the same days, a -5.94% difference versus the market.

AA
SPY

Official trades in Alcoa (AA) around 21 Sep 2026

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Alcoa (AA)

Companies carried with this story

  • AA Alcoa

    In “These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide,” Alcoa (AA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AA as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAL American Airlines Group

    In “These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide,” American Airlines Group (AAL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AAL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAOI Applied Optoelectronics

    In “These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide,” Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AAOI as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAOX Investment Managers Ser Tr I

    In “These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide,” Investment Managers Ser Tr I (AAOX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AAOX as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAP Advance Auto Parts

    In “These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide,” Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AAP as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AAPL Apple

    Apple (AAPL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 21 Sep 2026 story “These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide.” Reason on file: GA selected AAPL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Alcoa (AA)

Alcoa (AA) is the company in “These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide,” the 21 Sep 2026 this story story.

What ties Alcoa (AA) to the headline is this: GA selected AA as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

American Airlines Group (AAL) is here too. Its reason reads: GA selected AAL as a RELATED security because its curated list / industry / sector context matches this event (curated-list=history). This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

Dates in the story, and the Alcoa (AA) price range

AA traded between 38.85 and 46.06 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 41.67. AAL traded between 11.64 and 14.05 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 11.67. AAOI traded between 75.44 and 131.03 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 78.21.

How strong the case is around Alcoa (AA)

46 out of 100

“These beaten-down stocks could bounce back in January, if history is any guide” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.