Geopolitics Alpha

Turn up or else

Published . Updated .

Turn up or else

Ministers to implement sanctions powers on offenders who shun sentencing

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy prices move when sanctioned supply is blocked

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers move when sanctioned barrels leave the market

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers move when sanctioned barrels leave the market

  • SLB SLB

    Oilfield work in sanctioned regions can be cut off

  • GLD SPDR Gold Shares

    Gold is a usual haven when a conflict or sanction escalates

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    The broad market moves when a major sanction lands

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLE———————
USO———————
XOM———————
CVX———————
SLB———————
GLD———————
LMT———————
SPY———————

Turn up or else Joshua Rozenberg | Substack

Source: Joshua Rozenberg | Substack

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid “Turn up or else” looks

12 out of 100

“Turn up or else” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.