Geopolitics Alpha

U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision

Published . Updated .

U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision Coinpaper

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking

    Regional banks are sensitive to interest rates

  • UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE FUND LP

    Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF———————
SHY———————
SPY———————
JPM———————
BAC-0.48%-1.44%—+0.48%-0.66%-5.34%-4.84%
GS———————
XLF———————
KRE———————
UGA———————

U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision Coinpaper

Source: Coinpaper

Price since this story was published: United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Since the first closing price after “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -3.52%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a -2.05% difference versus the market.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day+0.48%final price
BACthe next day-0.66%final price
BACtwo days later-5.34%final price
BACthree days later-4.84%final price
BACthree days earlier-1.44%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.48%final price
Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (BOCT)that day0.00%final price
Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (BOCT)the next day0.00%final price
Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (BOCT)two days later-0.29%final price
Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (BOCT)three days later-0.29%final price
Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (BOCT)three days earlier+0.58%final price
Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (BOCT)five days earlier+0.13%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)that day+0.37%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)the next day+0.35%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)two days later-0.23%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days later-0.11%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days earlier+0.60%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)five days earlier+0.44%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)that day0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)the next day0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)two days later0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)three days later0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)three days earlier0.00%final price
Invesco Bloomberg Financial Data Providers Etf (FDIQ)five days earlier0.00%final price
Ft Vest U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (FOCT)that day+0.07%final price
Ft Vest U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (FOCT)the next day+0.09%final price
Ft Vest U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (FOCT)two days later-0.16%final price
Ft Vest U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (FOCT)three days later+0.12%final price
Ft Vest U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (FOCT)three days earlier-0.11%final price
Ft Vest U.S. Equity Buffer Etf - October (FOCT)five days earlier-1.23%final price
UGA
SPY

Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies tied to this story

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    For “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    For “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XME Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • HYG Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Oct 2026 story “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

The 11 Oct 2026 story “U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision” names United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) because of this story.

The link for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is this: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Also listed, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG): Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

The price range for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA), and the dates in the story

DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

A simple score for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

46 out of 100

“U.S. Inflation Forecast to Reach 3.7% Ahead of October 28 Fed Decision” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 21 linked companies.