Geopolitics Alpha

US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%

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US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4% investingLive

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF-0.55%-0.31%—+0.04%+0.16%+0.34%+1.06%
SHY———————
SPY———————
XOM———————
CVX-2.61%-3.22%—+1.43%+2.75%+4.76%+3.48%
JPM-0.20%-1.04%—+0.47%-0.44%+0.70%+0.77%
BAC-0.48%-1.44%—+0.48%-0.66%-5.34%-4.84%
GS-0.18%-0.88%—-0.12%-0.37%-1.86%-0.47%
XLF———————

US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4% investingLive

Source: investingLive

The price since 12 Oct 2026: United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -1.70%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a -0.23% difference versus the market.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day+0.48%final price
BACthe next day-0.66%final price
BACtwo days later-5.34%final price
BACthree days later-4.84%final price
BACthree days earlier-1.44%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.48%final price
CVXthat day+1.43%final price
CVXthe next day+2.75%final price
CVXtwo days later+4.76%final price
CVXthree days later+3.48%final price
CVXthree days earlier-3.22%final price
CVXfive days earlier-2.61%final price
GSthat day-0.12%final price
GSthe next day-0.37%final price
GStwo days later-1.86%final price
GSthree days later-0.47%final price
GSthree days earlier-0.88%final price
GSfive days earlier-0.18%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day+0.04%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)the next day+0.16%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)two days later+0.34%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days later+1.06%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier-0.31%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-0.55%final price
JPMthat day+0.47%final price
JPMthe next day-0.44%final price
JPMtwo days later+0.70%final price
JPMthree days later+0.77%final price
JPMthree days earlier-1.04%final price
JPMfive days earlier-0.20%final price
UGA
SPY

Who gains and who loses around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies carried with this story

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    In “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XME Spdr Series Trust

    In “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%,” Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    In “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • HYG Ishares Tr

    In “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%,” Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

The 12 Oct 2026 story “US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%” names United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) because of this story.

For United States Gasoline Fund (UGA), the reason on file says Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

A second company, iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG), is listed for a different reason: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

Price levels for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

A simple score for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

46 out of 100

“US CPI preview: energy set to lift inflation to 3.7%, core seen steady at 2.4%” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 21 linked companies.