What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury
Published . Updated .
HSBC says it’s designed a machine-learning model to predict the direction of the most important financial instrument in global markets.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- JPM JPMorgan Chase
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- BAC Bank of America
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- WFC Wells Fargo
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- C Citigroup
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- GS Goldman Sachs
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- MS Morgan Stanley
Bank profits move with lending and interest rates
- XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR
A fund of financial companies
- KBE SPDR S&P Bank
A fund of bank stocks
- KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking
Regional banks are sensitive to deposits and rates
- GOVZ ISHARES 25 YEAR TREASURY STRIPS BOND ETF
GA selected GOVZ as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury, year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
HSBC says it’s designed a machine-learning model to predict the direction of the most important financial instrument in global markets.
Source: MarketWatch
The price since 22 Sep 2026: Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ) versus the S&P 500
Since the first closing price after “What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury,” Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ) is -2.42%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.17% over the same days, a -2.25% difference versus the market.
Who gains and who loses around Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ)
Companies carried with this story
- GOVZ Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf
Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 22 Sep 2026 story “What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury.” Reason on file: GA selected GOVZ as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury, year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- BBLB Jpmorgan Betabuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 20 Year Etf
Jpmorgan Betabuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 20 Year Etf (BBLB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 22 Sep 2026 story “What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury.” Reason on file: GA selected BBLB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury, year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- LDRT Ishares Ibonds 1-5 Year Treasury Ladder Etf
For “What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury,” Ishares Ibonds 1-5 Year Treasury Ladder Etf (LDRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected LDRT as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury, year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- TLTW Ishares 20 Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy Etf
In “What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury,” Ishares 20 Year Treasury Bond Buywrite Strategy Etf (TLTW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected TLTW as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury, year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- UTEN Us Treasury 10 Year Note Etf
Us Treasury 10 Year Note Etf (UTEN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 22 Sep 2026 story “What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury.” Reason on file: GA selected UTEN as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury, year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
- UTWO Us Treasury 2 Year Note Etf
Us Treasury 2 Year Note Etf (UTWO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 22 Sep 2026 story “What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury.” Reason on file: GA selected UTWO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury, year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ)
On 22 Sep 2026, “What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury” is the story that connects Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ) to this story.
What ties Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ) to the headline is this: GA selected GOVZ as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury, year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
Jpmorgan Betabuilders U.S. Treasury Bond 20 Year Etf (BBLB) is here too. Its reason reads: GA selected BBLB as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: treasury, year. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article
Dates in the story, and the Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ) price range
BBLB traded between 72.46 and 73.55 across 3 sessions. The latest close on file is 73.55. GOVZ traded between 29.90 and 33.87 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 32.20. LDRT traded between 24.52 and 24.84 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 24.64.
How strong the case is around Ishares 25 Year Treasury Strips Bond Etf (GOVZ)
46 out of 100
“What this machine-learning model with 65% accuracy says is coming next for the 10-year Treasury” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.