Geopolitics Alpha

WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML

Published . Updated .

WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML Substack

Directly affected

  • ASML Asml Holding

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • NVDA NVIDIA

    Chip makers and their suppliers move when export rules or Taiwan risk changes

  • TSM Taiwan Semiconductor

    The main advanced-chip manufacturer sits in Taiwan

  • AVGO Broadcom

    Chip makers and their suppliers move when export rules or Taiwan risk changes

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • AMD AMD

    Chip makers and their suppliers move when export rules or Taiwan risk changes

  • AMAT Applied Materials

    Chip-equipment makers feel export controls

  • LRCX Lam Research

    Chip-equipment makers feel export controls

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor

    A fund of semiconductor companies

  • UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE FUND LP

    Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ASML———————
NVDA———————
TSM———————
AVGO———————
LMT———————
RTX———————
AMD———————
AMAT———————
LRCX———————
SMH———————
UGA———————

WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML Substack

Source: Substack

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) compared with industrial stocks (XLI) since 12 Oct 2026

Since the first closing price after “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is -1.70%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a -0.23% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -1.14%, a -0.56% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BAthat day-0.50%final price
BAthe next day-2.05%final price
BAtwo days later-3.08%final price
BAthree days later-0.90%final price
BAthree days earlier-1.13%final price
BAfive days earlier+1.20%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)that day+0.37%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)the next day+0.35%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)two days later-0.23%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days later-0.11%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)three days earlier+0.60%final price
Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA)five days earlier+0.44%final price
GDthat day+1.14%final price
GDthe next day+0.35%final price
GDtwo days later+0.99%final price
GDthree days later+1.70%final price
GDthree days earlier-1.46%final price
GDfive days earlier+0.12%final price
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG)that day+0.94%final price
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG)the next day+1.91%final price
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG)two days later+1.44%final price
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG)three days later+1.39%final price
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG)three days earlier-1.22%final price
iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG)five days earlier-1.75%final price
HIIthat day-0.20%final price
HIIthe next day-2.61%final price
HIItwo days later-0.05%final price
HIIthree days later+1.02%final price
HIIthree days earlier-1.48%final price
HIIfive days earlier+0.73%final price
UGA
SPY
XLI

Companies in defense around United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

Companies carried with this story

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    In “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    For “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XME Spdr Series Trust

    For “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML,” Spdr Series Trust (XME) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • XLY Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    In “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • HYG Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (HYG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

How defense news reaches United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is the company in “WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML,” the 12 Oct 2026 Defense story.

What ties United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) to the headline is this: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is here too. Its reason reads: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

What this defense story puts on the calendar

DBA traded between 27.85 and 28.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 28.19. GSG traded between 35.09 and 37.22 across 10 sessions. The latest close on file is 37.04. UGA traded between 140.00 and 152.81 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 143.49.

The defense score for United States Gasoline Fund (UGA)

46 out of 100

“WuBlockchain Weekly Outlook | U.S. Inflation and Warsh's IMF Discussion in Focus Alongside OCP and ASML” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 19 linked companies.