Geopolitics Alpha

Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts

Published . Updated .

November WTI crude oil (CLX26 ) closed down -1.68 (-1.84%) on Monday, and November RBOB gasoline (RBX26 ) closed down -0.0662 (-2.00%). Crude oil and gasoline prices settled lower on Monday after the dollar index ($DXY ) rallied to a 1.5-year high. Crude prices also fell after Saudi Arabia cut...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • COP ConocoPhillips

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • VLO Valero

    Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices

  • XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration

    A fund of oil and gas producers

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of energy companies

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • OIH VanEck Oil Services

    Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XOM———————
CVX———————
OXY———————
COP———————
VLO———————
MPC———————
XOP———————
XLE———————
USO———————
OIH———————

November WTI crude oil (CLX26 ) closed down -1.68 (-1.84%) on Monday, and November RBOB gasoline (RBX26 ) closed down -0.0662 (-2.00%). Crude oil and gasoline prices settled lower on Monday after the dollar index ($DXY ) rallied to a 1.5-y…

Source: Nasdaq Markets

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

Since the first closing price after “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +10.97%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.60% over the same days, a +12.58% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +6.39%, a +4.59% difference versus that group of stocks.

USO
SPY
XLE

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Companies mentioned with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 5 Oct 2026 story “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    For “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    For “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Oct 2026 story “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts,” Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

On 5 Oct 2026, “Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

A second company, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), is listed for a different reason: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Crude Oil Prices Fall on Dollar Strength and Saudi Price Cuts” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 19 linked companies.