Geopolitics Alpha

Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks

Published . Updated .

October WTI crude oil (CLV26 ) closed up +4.44 (+4.38%) on Tuesday, and October RBOB gasoline (RBV26 ) closed up +0.1481 (+4.46%). Crude oil and gasoline prices rallied sharply for a second day on Tuesday, with crude posting a 3.75-month high and gasoline posting a 3-week high. Supply risks are...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • COP ConocoPhillips

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • VLO Valero

    Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    Refiners' profits move with crude and fuel prices

  • XOP SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration

    A fund of oil and gas producers

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of energy companies

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    This fund moves with oil prices

  • OIH VanEck Oil Services

    Oilfield services rise when drilling follows oil prices

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XOM———————
CVX———————
OXY———————
COP———————
VLO———————
MPC———————
XOP———————
XLE———————
USO———————
OIH———————

October WTI crude oil (CLV26 ) closed up +4.44 (+4.38%) on Tuesday, and October RBOB gasoline (RBV26 ) closed up +0.1481 (+4.46%). Crude oil and gasoline prices rallied sharply for a second day on Tuesday, with crude posting a 3.75-month h…

Source: Nasdaq Markets

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

Since the first closing price after “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +2.96%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.66% over the same days, a +1.30% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +5.85%, a -2.89% difference versus that group of stocks.

USO
SPY
XLE

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies mentioned with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    In “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    In “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    In “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • MOO Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (MOO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks.” Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

How “Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks” (15 Sep 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Also listed, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO): Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Crude Prices Surge on Global Supply Risks” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 19 linked companies.