Geopolitics Alpha

Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report

Published . Updated .

Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report TradingView

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF-0.35%+0.01%—+0.12%+0.30%+1.02%+1.10%
SHY———————
SPY———————
XOM———————
CVX-3.45%-1.61%—+1.30%+3.29%+2.02%+4.63%
JPM-0.96%-0.92%—-0.91%+0.22%+0.29%+1.53%
BAC-0.84%-1.80%—-1.14%-5.79%-5.30%-6.13%
GS+0.35%-1.38%—-0.25%-1.74%-0.35%-1.54%
XLF———————

Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report TradingView

Source: TradingView

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

Since the first closing price after “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +4.67%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -0.40% over the same days, a +5.06% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.27%, a +4.40% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day-1.14%final price
BACthe next day-5.79%final price
BACtwo days later-5.30%final price
BACthree days later-6.13%final price
BACthree days earlier-1.80%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.84%final price
CVXthat day+1.30%final price
CVXthe next day+3.29%final price
CVXtwo days later+2.02%final price
CVXthree days later+4.63%final price
CVXthree days earlier-1.61%final price
CVXfive days earlier-3.45%final price
GSthat day-0.25%final price
GSthe next day-1.74%final price
GStwo days later-0.35%final price
GSthree days later-1.54%final price
GSthree days earlier-1.38%final price
GSfive days earlier+0.35%final price
IEFthat day+0.12%final price
IEFthe next day+0.30%final price
IEFtwo days later+1.02%final price
IEFthree days later+1.10%final price
IEFthree days earlier+0.01%final price
IEFfive days earlier-0.35%final price
JPMthat day-0.91%final price
JPMthe next day+0.22%final price
JPMtwo days later+0.29%final price
JPMthree days later+1.53%final price
JPMthree days earlier-0.92%final price
JPMfive days earlier-0.96%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 13 Oct 2026 story “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    In “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    For “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • UGA United States Gasoline Fund

    In “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report,” United States Gasoline Fund (UGA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust

    In “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report,” iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • DBA Invesco Db Agriculture Fund

    In “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report,” Invesco Db Agriculture Fund (DBA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

  • IEI Ishares Tr

    For “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report,” Ishares Tr (IEI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Higher fuel and transport costs can propagate into commodity inputs, consumer margins, credit conditions, and interest-rate expectations

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

On 13 Oct 2026, “Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Also listed, United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO): Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Food inflation, crude oil prices to determine extent of RBI rate hikes; 50-75 bps cycle likely: Report” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 19 linked companies.