Geopolitics Alpha

Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations

Published . Updated .

Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations Advisor Perspectives

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond

    Long-term bonds move when yields change

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond

    Treasury bonds move when yields change

  • SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

    Short-term bonds move when the Fed changes rates

  • SPY SPDR S&P 500

    Stocks move when the Fed changes the rate path

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • BAC Bank of America

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • GS Goldman Sachs

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

    A fund of financial companies

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT———————
IEF-0.55%-0.31%—+0.04%+0.16%+0.34%+1.06%
SHY———————
SPY———————
XOM———————
CVX-2.61%-3.22%—+1.43%+2.75%+4.76%+3.48%
JPM-0.20%-1.04%—+0.47%-0.44%+0.70%+0.77%
BAC-0.48%-1.44%—+0.48%-0.66%-5.34%-4.84%
GS-0.18%-0.88%—-0.12%-0.37%-1.86%-0.47%
XLF———————

Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations Advisor Perspectives

Source: Advisor Perspectives

The price since 12 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

Since the first closing price after “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is +5.04%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is -1.47% over the same days, a +6.51% difference versus the market. energy stocks (XLE) is +0.92%, a +4.13% difference versus that group of stocks.

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BACthat day+0.48%final price
BACthe next day-0.66%final price
BACtwo days later-5.34%final price
BACthree days later-4.84%final price
BACthree days earlier-1.44%final price
BACfive days earlier-0.48%final price
CVXthat day+1.43%final price
CVXthe next day+2.75%final price
CVXtwo days later+4.76%final price
CVXthree days later+3.48%final price
CVXthree days earlier-3.22%final price
CVXfive days earlier-2.61%final price
GSthat day-0.12%final price
GSthe next day-0.37%final price
GStwo days later-1.86%final price
GSthree days later-0.47%final price
GSthree days earlier-0.88%final price
GSfive days earlier-0.18%final price
IEFthat day+0.04%final price
IEFthe next day+0.16%final price
IEFtwo days later+0.34%final price
IEFthree days later+1.06%final price
IEFthree days earlier-0.31%final price
IEFfive days earlier-0.55%final price
JPMthat day+0.47%final price
JPMthe next day-0.44%final price
JPMtwo days later+0.70%final price
JPMthree days later+0.77%final price
JPMthree days earlier-1.04%final price
JPMfive days earlier-0.20%final price
USO
SPY
XLE

Who reported a United States Oil Fund (USO) trade near this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence in the 12 Oct 2026 story “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations.” Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XOP State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf

    For “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations,” State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    For “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations,” United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, high confidence. Reason on file: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

  • AEIS Advanced Energy Industries

    In “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations,” Advanced Energy Industries (AEIS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AEIS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • AMPY Amplify Energy

    For “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations,” Amplify Energy (AMPY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AMPY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • ATO Atmos Energy

    For “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations,” Atmos Energy (ATO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected ATO as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • BE Bloom Energy

    For “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations,” Bloom Energy (BE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected BE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: energy. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

On 12 Oct 2026, “Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

State Street Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf (XOP) is here too. Its reason reads: Oil-supply or crude-price developments can transmit through WTI/Brent proxies and energy producer earnings expectations

What this energy story puts on the calendar

BNO traded between 57.39 and 67.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.10. USO traded between 141.82 and 162.99 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 160.80. XLE traded between 60.95 and 68.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 67.80.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Gold Edges Up as Lower Oil Prices Pare Rate-Hike Expectations” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 10 linked companies.