Geopolitics Alpha

Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds

Published . Updated .

CBO estimates the Iran war cost the Pentagon $38.1 billion through Aug. 1 and could cost another $2 billion to $3 billion each additional month.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy companies move with Iran supply risk

  • LMT Lockheed Martin

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • RTX RTX

    Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises

  • XOM Exxon Mobil

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • DAL Delta Air Lines

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO———————
INSW———————
DHT———————
TNK———————
USO———————
XLE———————
LMT———————
RTX———————
XOM———————
DAL———————

How far IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) has moved since 15 Sep 2026

Since the first closing price after “Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is -3.57%. The S&P 500 fund (SPY) is +1.66% over the same days, a -5.23% difference versus the market. industrial stocks (XLI) is -1.17%, a -2.40% difference versus that group of stocks.

ITA
SPY
XLI

Who reported a IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) trade near this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) on one side of this defense story

Companies tied to this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds.” Reason on file: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

  • AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense

    For “Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds,” Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected AADX as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace, defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • CDP Copt Defense Properties

    In “Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds,” Copt Defense Properties (CDP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected CDP as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • FLY Firefly Aerospace

    For “Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds,” Firefly Aerospace (FLY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected FLY as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • GE General Electric

    General Electric (GE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Sep 2026 story “Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds.” Reason on file: GA selected GE as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • HWM Howmet Aerospace

    In “Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds,” Howmet Aerospace (HWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected HWM as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: aerospace. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

  • KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions

    In “Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds,” Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: GA selected KTOS as a RELATED security because its canonical security name directly matches this event's themes: defense. This is an explainable DERIVED market relationship, not a claim that the security was named in the source article

How defense news reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

“Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds” (15 Sep 2026) reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) through Defense.

What ties IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) to the headline is this: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: Material security escalation can alter defense demand expectations and risk premia

Price levels for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

AADX traded between 10.31 and 13.08 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 10.82. ITA traded between 201.08 and 217.79 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 207.60. XAR traded between 216.28 and 245.40 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 223.20.

What the saved facts support for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

100 out of 100

“Iran war has cost on average $246 million per day in its first five months, CBO finds” scores 100 out of 100. The score uses 11 linked companies.